Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 , 12:37 PM ET • 4 min read

Dylan Cease is one of the top strikeout artists in MLB, and the Blue Jays hurler will continue spinning yarns as he faces the Brewers tonight in Milwaukee.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
TOR
43 %
MIL
57 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Dylan Cease o6.5  Strikeouts Thrown (-155) Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-155)
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Dylan Cease Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease (84) delivers a pitch against the Chicago White Sox

No pitcher in baseball has more strikeouts over the last five years than Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Dylan Cease, and I expect him to continue to rack up the Ks in tonight’s matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers. 

Read on to see why he’ll be the feature player in my Blue Jays vs. Brewers predictions and free MLB picks for Wednesday, April 15.

Blue Jays vs Brewers predictions

Blue Jays vs Brewers best bet: Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts (-155)

The Toronto Blue Jays' pitching staff largely baffled the Milwaukee Brewers in the series opener with 12 strikeouts, and I expect that trend to continue with Dylan Cease on the mound tonight. 

Cease has faced the Brewers four times in his career, and went Over today’s 6.5 strikeout total in each outing, averaging eight K’s per contest.

The slider has been his most effective putaway pitch this season, garnering 10 strikeouts on a 58% whiff rate and a .053 opponent batting average.

Milwaukee has the ninth-highest strikeout rating against the slider with a 33% K-rate.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cease's 38.8% strikeout rate is second among MLB starters to throw at least 10 innings this season.

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Blue Jays vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays' bats seem to be coming around, sporting a .294 average over their last five games, averaging 10.4 hits per game. So I’ll continue to bet on the bats and take Over 4.5 hits against Brewers’ starter Chad Patrick

Additionally, Patrick’s main pitch is his cutter, a pitch in which the Jays own a .389 batting average against this season.

I’m also going to keep the Daulton Varsho train rolling and take Over 0.5 hits for the outfielder. He’s recorded a hit in five straight, totaling nine base knocks in that stretch. It’s also a great matchup for him, as Varsho posted a .500 average against the cutter last season. 

Blue Jays vs Brewers SGP

  • Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts
  • Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
  • Chad Patrick Over 4.5 hits allowed
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Blue Jays vs Brewers home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+335)

I’ll continue to bet on Varsho today, who looks to be turning things around at the plate with five extra-base hits in his last five games. 

Three of those have been of the home run variety, and this is a plus-matchup for him to hit one out of the park again tonight. Not only did Varsho have a .500 average against the cutter last season, but his xSLG was also .752 with a 35% hard-hit rate. 

Additionally, Patrick is a flyball pitcher who ranks in the 25th percentile in hard-hit rate. Varsho’s raw power should shine through tonight. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 5-10, -2.25 units
  • SGPs: 2-13, -5.5 units
  • HR picks: 3-12, +0.4 units

Blue Jays vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto -130 | Milwaukee +110
  • Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+135) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)

Blue Jays vs Brewers trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Brewers.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Wednesday, April 15, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV Brewers.TV, SN1
Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease
(0-0, 2.45 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick
(1-0, 0.73 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Brewers latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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