Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 4, 2026 , 10:10 AM ET • 4 min read

The Braves aren't striking out the Blue Jays, Ernie Clement tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
TOR
34 %
ATL
66 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ernie Clement u0.5  Total Strikeouts (-115) Ernie Clement u0.5 Total Strikeouts (-115)
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Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

Atlanta Braves starter Chris Sale dominates on the mound and typically racks up the Ks.

However, Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement is a tough out and hardly ever strikes out, making his strikeout Under a solid value play at -115 tonight.  

Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Braves predictions and MLB Picks for this Thursday, June 4 matchup. 

Blue Jays vs Braves predictions

Blue Jays vs Braves best bet: Ernie Clement Under 0.5 K’s (-115)

The betting market is giving Chris Sale too much credit on this prop, leaving it mispriced on the Under. Ernie Clement matches up well against Sale’s pitching profile.

The Atlanta Braves starter relies heavily on chase and swing-and-miss with his slider to generate strikeouts, but that's a difficult formula against Clement.

The Toronto Blue Jays infielder owns the highest chase rate in baseball, yet maintains a minuscule 14% whiff rate while ranking in the 99th percentile in strikeout rate at just 8%.

Moreover, the Jays' infielder has cleared his Under 0.5 strikeouts prop in seven of his last 10 outings. 

I’d bet Clement under 0.5 strikeouts up to -125. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Clement owns just a 2.5% whiff rate with zero strikeouts against the four-seamer/slider pitch types when facing left-handed pitchers. Sale owns an 80% usage rate on those pitches. 

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Blue Jays vs Braves same-game parlay (SGP)

Kazuma Okamoto has never faced Sale, but profiles well against him. Okamoto crushes the fastball and slider off LHP, owning a .400 average against them with a .667 xSLG. I’ll add  Over 0.5 hits for Okamoto.

For similar reasons, I’ll also add George Springer Over 0.5 hits as well. He owns a .300 average against the fastball/slider from lefties and owns a 26% hit-rate in 30 at-bats against Sale. 

Blue Jays vs Braves SGP

  • Ernie Clement Uner 0.5 strikeouts
  • Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits
  • George Springer Over 0.5 hits
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Blue Jays vs Braves home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+405)

Sale keeps the ball in the yard, so we’ll make this just a half-unit wager.

However, if there’s one Bluejay who profiles well enough to do damage tonight, it's Okamoto.

Okamoto owns a .400 average with a 65% hard hit rate against the four-seamer/slider combination, which has a 80% usage rate with those pitches.

Additionally, he’s one of the only Bluejays hitting with Power on a consistent basis, ranking in the 96th percentile in hard-hit rate, which has led to a team lead of 13 home runs in 2026. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 29-31, +2.85 units
  • SGPs: 12-48, +6.60 units
  • HR picks: 9-51, +0.80 units

Blue Jays vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +154 | Atlanta -170
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-125) | Atlanta -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-105) | Under 7 (-115)

Blue Jays vs Braves trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Braves.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Braves and game info

Location Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Date Thursday, 6-4-2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV SN1
Blue Jays starting pitcher TBD
(X-X, X.XX ERA)
Braves starting pitcher Chris Sale
(8-3, 2.01 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Braves latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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