Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Predictions for MLB July 10

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 10, 2026 , 11:36 AM ET • 4 min read

Looking for the best NRFI/YRFI predictions today? Colby Marchio break down the top first-inning picks for July 10, featuring Astros vs. Rangers and Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers.

Cal Quantrill Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cal Quantrill Texas Rangers MLB

Folks, after sweeping Tuesday with three YRFIs, we’re looking to run it back this evening and kickstart the weekend the right way!

Tonight, I have at least one NRFI on my radar, along with two other YRFIs to sweat out. Let’s see if we can keep the good vibes rolling!

Check out my full MLB picks below.

Best NRFI/YRFI predictions today

Pick Odds
Mariners/Rangers - Astros vs. Rangers YRFI -107
Mariners/Rangers - Athletics vs. White Sox YRFI -121
Mariners/Rangers - Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers NRFI -112
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Astros at Rangers: YRFI (-107)

Cal Quantrill is set to take the mound this evening for the Texas Rangers, and that automatically triggers me to lean toward the YRFI. Especially with Yordan Alvarez owning 100% arsenal coverage against him while grading out as an elite hitter on Batters-Box. He might be the only bat we need to rely on in the first inning.

However, on the other side, Hunter Brown is taking the mound for the Astros and has been struggling recently. Over his last 3 outings, Brown owns a 6.23 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP.

Overall, both offenses have been swinging the bat well over their last 6 games, each posting at least a 107 wRC+, a .199 ISO, and a .323 wOBA.

With Houston ranking second in first-inning runs scored and fifth in YRFI percentage, this sets up as a prime spot to root for some early offense.

  • Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CW33, SCHN

Athletics at White Sox: YRFI (-121)

This may be one of the biggest vibes plays I've made in quite some time, as White Sox slugger Munetaka Murakami is set to return from the IL. The White Sox offense has gone cold this week, but I think getting their star first baseman back is exactly the spark this lineup needs to get back on track.

They draw struggling Athletics right-hander Aaron Civale, who owns one of the worst pitcher ratings on the slate. He also grades poorly in matchup ISO, wOBA, hard contact, strikeout rate, and ground ball rate.

Through 15 starts, Civale has allowed 8 first-inning runs, with opposing hitters slashing .339/.382/.548 with a .931 OPS.

Sean Burke gets the ball for the White Sox, and he hasn't exactly been sharp early either. Through 14 starts, he has surrendered 9 first-inning runs, with opponents hitting .309 with a .473 SLG and .800 OPS.

I think this is a great spot for early runs, but I'm leaning toward the White Sox being the team that gets us to the window.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN, NBCSCA

Diamondbacks at Dodgers: NRFI (-112)

This could get sweaty, but that's the beauty of the NRFI. Both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers have gone cold offensively over their last 6 games, with each posting a wRC+ below 85, a wOBA under .295, and an OPS below .660. I think the NRFI is in play here.

Shohei Ohtani takes the ball for the Dodgers against a Diamondbacks lineup that doesn't feature a single elite or strongly rated hitter in Batters-Box's current season ratings. On the other side, Eduardo Rodriguez only has to navigate one elite and three strong-rated bats.

I'm willing to sweat out what will likely be a tense bottom of the first.

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ARID, SNLA
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • NRFI/YRFI picks: 14-4, +6.5 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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