Another week, another profit. We went 2-1 last week, and we're heading into Week 7 looking to keep the good times rolling.
I'm not shying away from points this weekend. We've got two offenses capable of putting on a show for the fans in Paris, a Rams team desperately needing to wake up, and a Lions squad that seemingly refuses to play a low-scoring game at home. Detroit's been an Over machine, and I'm not about to stand in front of it.
My Week 7 NFL Over/Under picks are backing three games to light up the scoreboard. Let's keep these NFL picks rolling!
NFL Week 7 Over/Under picks
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LAR vs 
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DETPercentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Expert Week 7 NFL Over/Under picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.
Steelers vs Saints: Over 44.5
Four of the New Orleans Saints' six games have reached the 60s, while three of the Pittsburgh Steelers' last four have finished in the 50s. These teams know how to keep a scoreboard busy.
Aaron Rodgers has thrown 11 touchdowns over his last four games and should have opportunities against a Saints defense allowing 29.7 points per game and ranking 24th in yards per pass attempt allowed.
New Orleans can punch back, ranking eighth in third-down conversion percentage and second in red-zone touchdown rate. Keep drives alive, finish with six, and give the French fans something better than the punting exhibitions we've seen in too many international games.
Rams vs Raiders: Over 48.5
The Los Angeles Rams' preseason Super Bowl dream is turning into a regular-season nightmare.
After getting embarrassed by Arizona, L.A.'s offense, which ranks seventh in yards per play, gets a Las Vegas Raiders defense sitting 29th in that category. Expect the desperate Rams to land some haymakers against a defense that gives up plenty of big plays.
Las Vegas can trade punches, too, averaging 27 points per game, with each of its last four contests producing at least 57 combined points.
The Rams' last 10 road games have gone 9-1 to the Over, with L.A. averaging 30.7 points per game. That's a trend I'm happy to ride against this Raiders defense.
Packers vs Lions: Over 53.5
The Detroit Lions have gone 7-0 to the Over in their last seven home games, averaging 58.6 combined points. They're also 12-3 to the Over in their last 15 games overall and 4-0 to the Over coming out of a bye. Somewhere, an Under bettor is explaining to his wife why Christmas is canceled.
The Green Bay Packers offense is waking up, scoring 54 points over its last two games. Meanwhile, the last two meetings between these teams in Detroit produced 55 and 65 combined points.
Getting off the field on defense could be a problem for both teams. The Packers rank 24th in opponent third-down conversion percentage, while the Lions sit 30th. A third-down stop by Detroit should be enough to earn its defensive coordinator a Gatorade bath.
Week 7 Over/Under combo
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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