Astros vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 13, 2026 , 10:39 AM ET • 4 min read

The Astros' recent road trip has been rocky and they try to avoid a sweep in Seattle this afternoon. Jason Logan isn't counting out a hard-hitting Houston lineup that could be getting key bodies back on both sides of the plate.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
HOU
39 %
SEA
61 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Houston +153 Houston +153
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Houston Astros third baseman Carlos Correa MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Astros third baseman Carlos Correa (1) breaks his bat a hits single during the third inning against the Seattle Mariners

The Houston Astros can’t get home soon enough. 

The team has not only struggled on its current 10-game road trip, but this away swing seems cursed. Injuries are piling up for Houston as it plays its final stop against the Seattle Mariners this afternoon.

Houston, which has one win in the first nine games of this trip, is desperate to avoid a sweep in Seattle. It could have bodies back in the infield and provide right-hander Mike Burrows with support on both sides of the plate.

Our Astros vs. Mariners predictions tell Seattle to put away the brooms with my MLB picks hopping on Houston.

Who will win Astros vs Mariners today: Astros moneyline (+156)

The Houston Astros took a 6-1 beating on Sunday but were without SS Jeremy Pena and 3B Carlos Correa

Correa is expected to return, while Pena is day-to-day. Even just getting Correa back is a boost, providing solid hitting in the middle of the order. 

Houston needs to show up for starter Mike Burrows. He’s been serviceable in his last two outings, with five earned runs on 13 hits over 10 1/3 innings.

The Seattle Mariners are hitting well vs. Houston, especially in the later frames, with 14 of 23 runs coming from the fifth inning onward. However, I expect regression from a Mariners lineup that sits near the bottom of most batting stats to start 2026.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Seattle starter George Kirby has allowed a home run in each of his three starts, including two three-run dingers. Houston has one of the hardest-hitting lineups, sitting second in slugging percentage (.454) and third in home runs per outing (1.19).

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Astros vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+100)

Given the state of the Astros’ injury-plagued bullpen, Houston needs plenty of run support to escape Seattle without a brooming. 

The Astros lineup scored 13 runs in the opening two games of the series — both went Over — and Monday’s finale could see Houston hitting hard early and Seattle surging late. 

The Astros have been a red-hot Over bet to start 2026, with an 11-5 O/U record. Game models are calling for at least eight runs this afternoon.

Astros vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Astros +156 | Mariners -163
  • Run line: Astros +1.5 (-138) | Mariners -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-104)

Astros vs Mariners trend

The Houston Astros have gone Over the total in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units/ 9% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Mariners.

How to watch Astros vs Mariners and game info

Location T-Mobile Field, Seattle, WA
Date Monday, April 13, 2026
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV SCHN, Mariners.tv
Astros starting pitcher Mike Burrows
(1-2, 5.63 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcher George Kirby
(1-2, 3.60 ERA)

Astros vs Mariners latest injuries

Astros vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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