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Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 13, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

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Seattle @ Denver

Oct 15 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

SEA

21.69 @ 21.48

DEN

Seahawks vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
SEA SEA	21.69	-2.5 -112 BetMGM	o40.5 -105 theScore Bet	-142 bet365
DEN DEN	21.48	+2.5 +100 Fanatics Sportsbook	u40.5 -105 FanDuel	+125 BetRivers

Top Projection RJ Harvey o15.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o14.5-107

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Houston @ Jacksonville

Oct 18 • 9:30 AM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

HOU

21.39 @ 24.22

JAC

Texans vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
HOU HOU	21.39	+3.0 -120 DraftKings	o42.5 -110 Caesars Odds	+125 BetMGM
JAC JAC	24.22	-3.0 +100 DraftKings	u42.5 -102 DraftKings	-144 FanDuel

Top Projection Woody Marks o49.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

o47.5-114

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Tennessee @ Indianapolis

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

TEN

16.71 @ 26.52

IND

Titans vs Colts · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
TEN TEN	16.71	+7.5 -125 Hard Rock Bet	o43.5 -114 BetRivers	+275 FanDuel
IND IND	26.52	-7.5 +100 Hard Rock Bet	u44.5 -118 DraftKings	-325 BetMGM

Top Projection Daniel Jones o5.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o5.5-115

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Carolina @ Philadelphia

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CAR

20.82 @ 22.46

PHI

Panthers vs Eagles · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CAR CAR	20.82	+1.5 -115 DraftKings	o40.5 -110 BetMGM	+102 Caesars Odds
PHI PHI	22.46	-1.5 +100 Fanatics Sportsbook	u41.5 -110 theScore Bet	-115 bet365

Top Projection Jalen Hurts o22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o22.5-115

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Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

PIT

20.22 @ 18.49

Steelers vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
PIT PIT	20.22	-2.5 -105 bet365	o39.5 -110 BetMGM	-130 theScore Bet
TB TB	18.49	+2.5 -105 Caesars Odds	u40.0 -109 BetRivers	+120 FanDuel

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

BAL

22.57 @ 18.52

CLE

Ravens vs Browns · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
BAL BAL	22.57	+0.0 -225 BetRivers	o40.5 -122 FanDuel	-225 BetMGM
CLE CLE	18.52	+0.0 +170 BetRivers	u41.5 -110 bet365	+195 DraftKings

Top Projection Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o79.5-115

See all EV Projections

New Orleans @ N.Y. Giants

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

21.09 @ 20.95

NYG

Saints vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
NO NO	21.09	+0.0 -112 BetRivers	o45.5 -109 BetRivers	-110 FanDuel
NYG NYG	20.95	+1.5 -118 bet365	u46.0 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	-102 BetMGM

Chicago @ Atlanta

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CHI

23.81 @ 26.50

ATL

Bears vs Falcons · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CHI CHI	23.81	-2.5 -115 theScore Bet	o49.5 -109 BetRivers	-155 theScore Bet
ATL ATL	26.50	+2.5 +105 Fanatics Sportsbook	u49.5 -105 Caesars Odds	+148 BetRivers

Top Projection Bijan Robinson o24.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o24.5-115

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N.Y. Jets @ New England

Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

NYJ

16.96 @ 25.28

Jets vs Patriots · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
NYJ NYJ	16.96	+7.5 -115 DraftKings	o43.5 -105 theScore Bet	+280 FanDuel
NE NE	25.28	-7.5 +100 Hard Rock Bet	u43.5 -105 FanDuel	-325 BetMGM

Top Projection Drake Maye o20.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o20.5-115

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Arizona @ L.A. Rams

Oct 18 • 4:05 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

ARI

18.47 @ 31.68

Cardinals vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
ARI ARI	18.47	+13.5 -113 FanDuel	o51.5 -114 bet365	+640 FanDuel
LA LA	31.68	-13.5 -113 FanDuel	u52.5 -118 FanDuel	-752 BetMGM

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City

Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

LAC

18.67 @ 24.62

Chargers vs Chiefs · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
LAC LAC	18.67	+8.5 -114 Caesars Odds	o41.5 -110 theScore Bet	+380 DraftKings
KC KC	24.62	-8.5 -103 bet365	u42.5 -107 Caesars Odds	-425 Fanatics Sportsbook

Top Projection Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o11.5-115

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Buffalo @ Las Vegas

Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

BUF

29.52 @ 24.77

Bills vs Raiders · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
BUF BUF	29.52	-4.5 -114 Caesars Odds	o53.0 -109 BetRivers	-235 BetMGM
LV LV	24.77	+4.5 -105 Fanatics Sportsbook	u53.5 -110 BetMGM	+220 DraftKings

Top Projection Josh Allen o33.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o33.5-115

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Dallas @ Green Bay

Oct 18 • 8:20 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

DAL

25.46 @ 27.93

Cowboys vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
DAL DAL	25.46	+1.5 -115 DraftKings	o52.5 -110 BetRivers	+105 Fanatics Sportsbook
GB GB	27.93	-1.5 +100 FanDuel	u53.5 -113 Caesars Odds	-110 FanDuel

Top Projection Dak Prescott o10.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o10.5-115

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Washington @ San Francisco

Oct 19 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

WAS

21.87 @ 27.34

Commanders vs 49ers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
WAS WAS	21.87	+7.5 -105 theScore Bet	o50.0 -114 BetRivers	+340 DraftKings
SF SF	27.34	-7.5 -108 BetMGM	u50.5 +100 DraftKings	-400 BetMGM

Top Projection Brock Purdy o17.5 Rushing Yards (-116)

o16.5-114

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SEA @

DEN Thu, Oct 15 • 8:15 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Emanuel Wilson o64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Best Odds

o65.5 -115

Pick made: 3 hours ago

o66.5 -115

o65.5 -135

o66.5 -113

o66.5 -114

o65.5 -125

o65.5 -115

o66.5 -118

o69.5 +100

o66.5 -115

Wilson has seen snap share separation from fellow RB George Halani the past two weeks, getting 60% and 59% of snaps equating to 21 and 20 carries. And with Halani fumbling twice (to Wilson’s one fumble) in Week 5, the Seahawks will continue to count on Wilson more. He faces a Denver defense will a notable weak point against the run. The Broncos gave up 155 rushing yards to the Chargers on Sunday and enter TNF ranked 28th in EPA allowed per carry, barfing up 4.7 yards per run to foes. Denver is also worst in explosive runs allowed (seven for 20+ yards, two for 40+). Projections aren’t overly bullish on Wilson, ranging from 55 to as many as 69 yards in Week 6. My forecast comes out to 68 yards on the ground considering Seattle is a road favorite with a run-positive game script in the second half.

Receptions Made

AJ Barner o2.5 Receptions Made (-105)

Best Odds

o2.5 -105

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o2.5 -115

o2.5 -105

o2.5 -125

o2.5 -118

o2.5 -120

o2.5 -115

o2.5 -114

o2.5 -130

o2.5 -120

Seattle tight end A.J. Barner caught three balls on five targets in the loss to San Francisco in Week 5. That was his busiest day since the loss to Washington and its blitz-centric schemes in Week 3, in which he was targeted nine times for five receptions. Thursday’s foe also likes to bring extra pass rushers, with the Broncos blitzing at the eighth highest rate. Denver has also allowed the eighth most yards and 15th most receptions to tight ends entering Week 6. Barner has been much more involved in the Seattle passing game under new OC Brian Fleury – a former tight ends coach. His snap share has climbed each week and he’s 15th among all TE in number of routes run. Thursday’s forecasts have his receptions between 2.8 and 3.4 with the 6-foot-6 Barner acting as a pressure release when Sam Darnold feels the heat.

View 18 Picks

HOU @

JAC Sun, Oct 18 • 9:30 AM ET

Total

u43.5 (-105)

Best Odds

u42.5 -102

Pick made: yesterday

u42.5 -108

u42.5 -102

u42.5 -110

u42.5 -109

u42.5 -110

The Texans and Jaguars rank ninth and third in defensive DVOA and fifth and seventh in defensive success rate. Houston is also travelling to London for its third road game in four weeks, and I’m expecting the offense to have trouble with the uptick in class after facing the Dallas Cowboys and Tennessee Titans the past two weeks. Similarly, Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence will have his hands full against a Houston pass rush with 10 sacks across their past three games.

Receiving Yards

Dalton Schultz o29.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Projection 36.11 (Over)

Best Odds

o28.5 -115

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o32.5 -120

o28.5 -115

o30.5 -109

o30.5 -114

o30.5 -117

o30.5 -113

o29.5 -120

o30.5 -115

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Houston Texans have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.6 plays per game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in football.. Dalton Schultz's 45.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last season's 35.0 rate.

-115 at bet365

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TEN @

IND Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards

Josh Downs o46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 64.21 (Over)

Best Odds

o46.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o46.5 -115

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.

-115 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Jonathan Taylor o16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 19.1 (Over)

Best Odds

o16.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o16.5 -115

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 59.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to notch 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Jonathan Taylor profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 21.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

-115 at bet365

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CAR @

PHI Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

o41.5 (-111)

Best Odds

o40.5 -110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o40.5 -110

o40.5 -111

o40.5 -110

o40.5 -122

o40.5 -110

o40.5 -112

o40.5 -110

o41.5 -110

o40.5 -115

The Panthers are fifth in offensive yards per play and sixth in passing EPA. the Eagles are 22nd in defensive EPA, so look for Carolina's explosive offense to roll. The Eagles could get back Saquon Barkely and DeVonta Smith, so expect the low totals cutoff to rise as the weak goes on. Get in early on the Over

Moneyline

CAR (-103)

Best Odds

+102

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-102

-105

+100

-105

-103

+102

-105

I'll jump at the Panthers as a dog and keep them up to 53%. Philly has lost three straight and returns from a game in England, while the Panthers are coming off a bye week.

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BAL @

CLE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 94.27 (Over)

Best Odds

o79.5 -115

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o79.5 -115

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.2% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects Derrick Henry to accrue 22.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 73.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. Derrick Henry has run for many more adjusted yards per game (105.0) this season than he did last season (88.0).

-115 at bet365

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NO @

NYG Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Jameis Winston o3.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 11.73 (Over)

Best Odds

o3.5 -115

Pick made: 27 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o3.5 -115

The model projects the Giants to be the 7th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Jameis Winston ranks as one of the top quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 2.86 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 90th percentile.. The Saints defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's group of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

-115 at bet365

Passing Attempts

Tyler Shough u35.5 Passing Attempts (-112)

Projection 32.59 (Under)

Best Odds

u35.5 -105

Pick made: 42 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

u35.5 -108

u35.5 -112

u35.5 -105

View 10 Picks

CHI @

ATL Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards

Colston Loveland o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 39.68 (Over)

Best Odds

o33.5 -125

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o34.5 -112

o34.5 -114

o34.5 -117

o34.5 -115

o33.5 -125

o34.5 -115

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 132.9 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 67.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: most in football.

-125 at theScore Bet

Passing Yards

Michael Penix Jr. o233.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 247.73 (Over)

Best Odds

o232.5 -114

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o239.5 -112

o236.5 -114

o232.5 -114

o233.5 -114

o239.5 -110

o236.5 -115

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the porous Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

-114 at BetRivers

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NYJ @

NE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

u43.5 (-110)

Best Odds

u43.5 -105

Pick made: 4 hours ago

u43.5 -110

u43.5 -108

u43.5 -105

u43.5 -110

u43.5 -108

u43.5 -110

For as good as the Jets' defense has been, the Patriots have been pretty damn solid themselves. New England ranks sixth in total defense, 14th in defensive EPA/play, and is taking on a subpar Jets offense ranked 26th in total yards. I'm fine with fading Geno Smith and a streaky Drake Maye, who are a total 7-3 to the Under this year. No matter how you slice it, this is going to be a tough defensive battle on a cold Sunday afternoon. The numbers are screaming at the top of the rooftops to take this Under, you should listen.

Spread

NYJ +7.5 (-121)

Best Odds

+7.5 -115

Pick made: 4 hours ago

+7.5 -130

+7.5 -117

+7.5 -115

+7.5 -120

+6.5 +105

+7.5 -120

+7.0 -108

+7.0 -105

+7.5 -120

The New York Jets' defense is severely underrated this season. The unit is giving up just 19.2 points per game, which ranks fifth in the NFL, and is sixth in defensive EPA/play. New York's defense is one of the best bend-don't-break side in the game, too, allowing opponents to score at just a 50% clip - good for sixth best in football. As you can tell, I have a lot of faith in this unit. It'll be a pure heat check game for Drake Maye, who's thrown for seven touchdowns and over 600 yards across his last two weeks after a horrendous start to his season. I'm expecting a tight divisional tilt here - it's one of my best trades for Week 6.

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LAC @

KC Sun, Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET

Spread

KC -7.5 (-110)

Best Odds

-8.5 -103

Pick made: yesterday

-8.5 -108

-8.5 -103

-8.5 -105

-7.5 -115

-8.5 -106

-8.5 -105

Kansas City’s offense is rolling in Episode 2 of the Eric Bieniemy Experience, with the team rating in the Top 10 of all the sexy advanced metrics and placing fourth in points per play. The Chiefs face a Bolts team that can’t seem to string together two positive plays before either turning the ball over or getting flagged for a penalty. The Chargers have the ninth lowest success rate on third down and picked up just 14 first downs in a loss to Denver Sunday. This will be L.A.’s third road game in the past four weeks and a much-needed bye in Week 7 could serve as look-ahead bait for the Bolts.

Rushing Yards

Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 18.84 (Over)

Best Odds

o11.5 -115

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o11.5 -115

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are projected by the predictive model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

-115 at bet365

View 4 Picks

BUF @

LV Sun, Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Josh Allen o33.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 43.27 (Over)

Best Odds

o33.5 -115

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o33.5 -115

This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 45.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the model to garner the most carries among all quarterbacks with 8.7. . Josh Allen has rushed for a lot more yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.84 adjusted yards-per-carry.

-115 at bet365

View Pick

DAL @

GB Sun, Oct 18 • 8:20 PM ET

Total

o50.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o52.5 -110

Pick made: 2 days ago

o53.0 -110

o52.5 -115

o53.5 -111

o53.0 -110

o52.5 -110

o53.5 -107

o52.5 -115

o53.0 -110

Jordan Love has thrown for 300+ yards in three of five games so far and faces a dreadful Dallas Cowboys defense on Sunday Night Football. He's has enjoyed past meetings with the Cowboys, amassing 337 yards and three touchdowns last season and connecting for three TDs and 272 yards in Green Bay’s infamous ass-waxing of Dallas in the 2023 Wild Card Round. The Cowboys are off an embarrassing loss to Tampa Bay at home last Thursday. Three turnovers sucked all the juice out of a big night for QB Dak Prescott, who threw for 316 yards in Week 5. Dallas’ defense is getting blown away by explosive downfield plays, ranking dead last in EPA allowed per dropback and opponent success rate per pass. The Cowboys are also giving up the fifth most points per play.

Rushing Yards

MarShawn Lloyd o41.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 53.51 (Over)

Best Odds

o41.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o41.5 -115

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys run defense has given up a massive 173.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the worst in football.

-115 at bet365

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WAS @

SF Mon, Oct 19 • 8:15 PM ET

Receiving Yards

Christian McCaffrey o39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 42.79 (Over)

Best Odds

o39.5 -110

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o39.5 -113

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -115

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -110

o39.5 -115

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. In this week's contest, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.7 targets.. The 49ers O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.. Christian McCaffrey's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this season, totaling 5.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 0.00 mark last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

-110 at theScore Bet

Receiving Yards

Mike Evans u73.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 69.77 (Under)

Best Odds

u73.5 -111

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u73.5 -111

u73.5 -114

u73.5 -115

The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.. The 49ers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.8 plays per game.. Mike Evans has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (106.0 per game).

-111 at DraftKings

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For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.