Clemson vs LSU Picks & Props
CLEM vs LSU Picks
NCAAF PicksExpect slow starts from both of these offenses, with LSU set to start more than a half-dozen transfers on offense and Clemson's new QB, Christopher Vizzina, lacking experience. Both defenses are projected to rank Top 20 by SP+ and are full of future NFL players. Last year's matchup saw just 27 total points scored, and this year's will struggle to reach more than 45.
Although LSU is the more talented team, the Tigers' lack of continuity could lead to a slow start. Of the 44 players in Lane Kiffin's two-deep, 28 of them are new to the program. Clemson's defense has plenty of NFL talent and should take advantage of the newness on LSU's offense. A low-scoring first half can keep this game close in Death Valley before LSU pulls away late. But this spread is slightly too big for me to back Kiffin's Tigers.
With neither of these offenses in position for strong performances as they debut new QBs, Clemson has a chance to keep this game close. The Tigers have a projected Top 20 defense by SP+ that features a potential first-round pick at every level. With Sam Leavitt coming off a season-ending injury and playing with six new receivers, a slow start should lead to winning by fewer than 11 points.
CLEM vs LSU Consensus Picks
64% picking Clemson
Total Picks CLEM 253, LSU 144
CLEM vs LSU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
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|
TOTAL
Under
50.5 Total
48.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
17.88%
EV
|
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|
PASSING YARDS
CLEM
C. Vizzina
(QB)
o210.5 Passing Yards
226.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.1
DIFFERENCE
23.62%
EV
|
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|
PASSING YARDS
S. Leavitt
(QB)
u264.5 Passing Yards
260.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.2
DIFFERENCE
10.84%
EV
|
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|
RUSHING YARDS
CLEM
C. Johnson Jr.
(RB)
o24.5 Rushing Yards
35.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.5
DIFFERENCE
25.47%
EV
|
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|
RUSHING YARDS
LSU
D. Jones
(RB)
u51.5 Rushing Yards
42.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.1
DIFFERENCE
25.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
S. Leavitt
(QB)
o14.5 Rushing Yards
25.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.1
DIFFERENCE
18.81%
EV
|
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|
RUSHING YARDS
CLEM
G. Davidson
(RB)
o42.5 Rushing Yards
43.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
12.08%
EV
|
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|
RECEIVING YARDS
LSU
J. Harris
(WR)
o42.5 Receiving Yards
64.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+21.8
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
LSU
J. Brown
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
68.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.2
DIFFERENCE
27.07%
EV
|
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|
RECEIVING YARDS
CLEM
T. Moore
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
63.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.1
DIFFERENCE
25.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CLEM
B. Wesco Jr.
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
60.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.3
DIFFERENCE
25.38%
EV
|
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|
RECEIVING YARDS
LSU
T. Green
(TE)
u49.5 Receiving Yards
43.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.2
DIFFERENCE
21.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
LSU
J. Brown
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
20.59%
EV
|
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|
RECEPTIONS
LSU
J. Harris
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
LSU
D. Jones
(RB)
u10.5 Carries
9.07 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
20.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
CLEM
C. Johnson Jr.
(RB)
o6.5 Carries
7.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.58%
EV
|
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|
CARRIES
CLEM
G. Davidson
(RB)
o9.5 Carries
10.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
13.09%
EV
|
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|
CARRIES
S. Leavitt
(QB)
o7.5 Carries
7.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.67%
EV
|
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|
COMPLETIONS
CLEM
C. Vizzina
(QB)
o18.5 Completions
21.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.2
DIFFERENCE
20.18%
EV
|
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|
COMPLETIONS
S. Leavitt
(QB)
o20.5 Completions
22.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
14.09%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
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Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
ROI Trends
CLEM vs LSU Top User Picks
Clemson Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
LSU Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||