Kansas City @ Seattle Picks & Props

Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Woo has a huge platoon split. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, MJ Melendez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .183 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .287. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's game. Dylan Moore has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dylan Moore's 98-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season. Dylan Moore and his 19.7° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky this year, compiling a .226 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .078 deviation. Hunter Renfroe's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 113.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Considering Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Vinnie Pasquantino is in the 96th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .372.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Salvador Perez has been hot lately, posting a .394 wOBA over the last 7 days. Salvador Perez and his 15° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Mitch Haniger is in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Bobby Witt Jr. ranks in the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .388. Bobby Witt Jr. has notched a .307 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Because of Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Alec Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today. Julio Rodriguez is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season). Sporting a 4.25 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 18th percentile.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez grades out in the 86th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Josh Rojas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Josh Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Rojas has been hot recently, putting up a .386 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even better, Woo has a huge platoon split.

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Given Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Michael Massey will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Michael Massey's 19.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Cal Raleigh has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (an advanced metric to study power), grading out in the 80th percentile.

Maikel Garcia's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Maikel Garcia has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Mitch Garver has suffered from bad luck this year with his .282 actual wOBA. Mitch Garver's 12.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Mitch Garver's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 113.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Ty France will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) provides evidence that Freddy Fermin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .321 actual wOBA. Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Freddy Fermin's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 78th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup.