MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 1, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.62 @ 4.76

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Cardinals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.62

+129

o8.5 -103

+1.5 -168

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.76

-136

u8.5 -107

-1.5 +152

Chi. White Sox @ Tampa Bay
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.07 @ 4.41

TB
TB logo
TB

White Sox vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.07

+148

o8.0 -105

+1.5 -140

TB logo
TB
TB

4.41

-160

u8.5 -121

-1.5 +132

Miami @ NY Mets
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.97 @ 5.21

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Marlins vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.97

+118

o8.5 -126

+1.5 -178

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.21

-125

u9.0 -115

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
o1.5 +270
Minnesota @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.81 @ 4.03

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Twins vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.81

+144

o7.5 -107

+1.5 -148

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.03

-155

u8.0 -120

-1.5 +136

Top Projection Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.08 @ 4.68

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Pirates vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.08

-112

o8.0 -125

-1.5 +146

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.68

+105

u8.5 -112

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5 +215
Philadelphia @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.20 @ 3.81

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Phillies vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.20

-137

o8.0 -118

-1.5 +125

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.81

+128

u8.5 -116

+1.5 -137

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+151)
o0.5 +151
Texas @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.76 @ 3.99

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Rangers vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.76

-120

o8.5 +101

-1.5 +134

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.99

+114

u8.5 -112

+1.5 -148

Arizona @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.27 @ 4.72

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Diamondbacks vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.27

+142

o8.5 +101

+1.5 -155

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.72

-148

u8.5 -112

-1.5 +140

NY Yankees @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.29 @ 3.31

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Yankees vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.29

-118

o6.0 -125

-1.5 +158

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.31

+109

u6.5 -112

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+307)
o0.5 +307
Washington @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.46 @ 5.67

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Nationals vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.46

+170

o9.5 +102

+1.5 -125

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.67

-175

u9.5 -112

-1.5 +115

Top Projection James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
o1.5 +132
Kansas City @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

6.56 @ 6.54

COL
COL logo
COL

Royals vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

6.56

+106

o11.5 -112

-1.5 +150

COL logo
COL
COL

6.54

-110

u12.0 -115

+1.5 -161

San Francisco @ San Diego
Matchup

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.61 @ 4.85

SD
SD logo
SD

Giants vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.61

+124

o8.5 -103

+1.5 -165

SD logo
SD
SD

4.85

-134

u8.5 -106

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Boston @ LA Dodgers
Matchup

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.77 @ 5.07

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Red Sox vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.77

+144

o8.0 -109

+1.5 -155

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.07

-155

u8.5 -126

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5 +170
Milwaukee @ LA Angels
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.02 @ 4.74

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Brewers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.02

-114

o8.5 -112

-1.5 +142

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.74

+105

u9.0 -120

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Detroit @ Athletics
Matchup

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

6.29 @ 5.03

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Tigers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

6.29

-130

o10.5 -110

-1.5 +124

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.03

+120

u11.0 -125

+1.5 -132

Top Projection Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +170
Washington @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

+109

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

-131

--

--

Philadelphia @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

Phillies vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

-126

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

+105

--

--

St. Louis @ Toronto
Matchup

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

-107

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

-112

--

--

Miami @ NY Mets
Matchup

Predicted Score

Marlins vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

+109

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

-131

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

+119

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

-137

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Tampa Bay
Matchup

Predicted Score

White Sox vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

+134

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

--

-148

--

--

Arizona @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

Diamondbacks vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

+109

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

-137

--

--

Texas @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

Rangers vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

+101

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

-126

--

--

NY Yankees @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

Yankees vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

-112

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

-103

--

--

Kansas City @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

Royals vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

--

-107

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

-107

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Angels
Matchup

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-229

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+188

--

--

Detroit @ Athletics
Matchup

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

-121

--

--

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+101

--

--

Minnesota @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

Twins vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

+119

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-148

--

--

San Francisco @ San Diego
Matchup

Predicted Score

Giants vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

+124

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-148

--

--

Boston @ LA Dodgers
Matchup

Predicted Score

Red Sox vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

+129

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-155

--

--

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Aug 1 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. In the past 7 days, Jordan Walker's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jordan Hicks logo
Jordan Hicks o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+165)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Tropicana Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Given that groundball batters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, Jordan Hicks (49.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected lineup.. Among all SPs, Jordan Hicks's fastball velocity of 96.6 mph is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed home runs.. Noah Schultz will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda today.. Jonathan Aranda has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Connor Prielipp. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 39% to 30.9%.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, Aug 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Pittsburgh’s pitching efficiency carries the day here, posting a sixth-ranked 3.10 SIERA alongside a robust 19.7% K-BB% rate. Braxton Ashcraft matches up against Andrew Abbott, where Cincinnati’s offensive struggles (83 wRC+) and high strikeout tendency (26.4% K%) make the Pirates a clean road target.

Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 90%.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Ashcraft.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Aug 1 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Because of Cristopher Sanchez's large platoon split, Taylor Ward will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Aug 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Texas Rangers logo TEX (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Jacob deGrom on the mound at close-to-pick-'em odds is prime real estate. Texas features a surging offense over the past two weeks, ranking sixth in MLB with a 112 wRC+ and .453 SLG. Expect deGrom to outperform Ronel Blanco in this divisional clash.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Total Hits
Steven Kwan logo
Steven Kwan u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Hitting from the same side that Kohl Drake throws from, Steven Kwan will be in a tough position today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.. There has been a decrease in Steven Kwan's average exit velocity this season, from 86.3 mph last year to 83.2 mph now. In the last 7 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 84.3 mph to 81.9 mph.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo u6.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

We saw just how ineffective these offenses can be with barrel suppression yesterday in a 2-0 Yankees win. I'm backing another low-scoring affair and would play the Under to 6, particularly considering the weather in store.

Rain and wind blowing in at Wrigley are not small variables, especially with the pitchers in mind.

Fried fits the weather. His 50% ground-ball rate and almost non-existent barrel rate make it difficult for the Cubbies to create power. Peterson’s overall profile is shakier, but he still owns a 49% ground-ball rate, and the weather helps cover some of his air-contact risk.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-127)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm backing the New York Yankees and I'd play them down to -130. The reason is simple: Max Fried.

He has allowed just a 2% barrel rate and .247 xwOBA this season. That’s a strong fit against an up-and-down Chicago Cubs offense.

Veteran David Peterson hasn't been a disaster, but he will be more solvable. He owns a 5.14 xERA, .429 xSLG allowed, and just a 18% strikeout rate. It gets most of his success out of his 80th percentile ground-ball rate. That could keep the Yankees' bats quiet for long stretches, but eventually the underlying metrics will catch up with him in a game of thin margins.

View 9 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 89%.. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez today.
Total Bases
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young o1.5 Total Bases (+249)
Projection 1.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 89%.. Jacob Young hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, Aug 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive skill to be a .295, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .048 deviation between that mark and his actual .247 wOBA.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, Aug 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last two weeks, Willy Adames's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Willy Adames has put up a .315 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sat, Aug 1 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Andruw Monasterio usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Aug 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jose Siri ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser today... and moreover, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Siri has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.46 ft/sec to 29.81 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Total RBIs
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Aug 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 106°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 106°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

Total Hits
Dansby Swanson logo Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff. 

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.