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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 13, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -113 
|
+1.5 -160 
|
|
5.17 |
-150 
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +146 
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Tigers last 9 vs. National League West.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.82 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
5.34 |
-129
|
u9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts overall.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 13-1-1 in Holmes' last 15 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in Holmes' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+160
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -136
|
|
5.56 |
-180
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+105
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.25 |
-118
|
u9.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +165
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. American League West.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+151)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
+130
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.41 |
-148
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Rogers' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ceases last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+393)
o0.5+393
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+120
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.38 |
-136
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +162
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 5-0 in Wesneskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
o1.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-146
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.79 |
+132
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -132
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 7-0 in Wrobleskis last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Wrobleskis last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Emmet Sheehan o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
o5.5+118
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+115
|
o7.5 -124
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.48 |
-130
|
u8.5 -140
|
-1.5 +172
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+170
|
o8.0 -110
|
+3.5 -315
|
|
4.33 |
-195
|
u8.5 -125
|
-3.5 +245
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 9-1 in Reds last 10 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5+265
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
-135
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.05 |
+120
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -145
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in McGreevys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.38 |
+125
|
o6.0 -152
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
3.97 |
-140
|
u6.5 +105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Boyds last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+158
|
o7.0 -134
|
+2.5 -240
|
|
4.37 |
-180
|
u7.5 -120
|
-2.5 +190
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Camerons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Tolles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.61 |
-140
|
o9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.48 |
+125
|
u10.0 -110
|
+1.5 -130
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 road starts.
Athletics
- are 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+120
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.86 |
-140
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +160
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rangers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rangers last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
-130
|
o6.5 -130
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
3.60 |
+110
|
u7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Webbs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Lodolos last 5 home starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Lodolos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Lodolos last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in Sorianos last 7 starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.37 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.63 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 10-2 in Braves last 12 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.32 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.14 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
LA Angels
- Under is 8-1-1 in Angels last 10 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Arizona
- Under is 7-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
COL
@
DET
Sun, Sep 13 • 12:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Projection 4.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. Projected catcher Dillon Dingler profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jackson Jobe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats across the board.. Jackson Jobe's fastball velocity has spiked 1.3 mph this season (97.1 mph) over where it was last season (95.8 mph).. Out of all starters, Jackson Jobe's fastball spin rate of 2420 rpm grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game.
PHI
@
ATL
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Truist Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
NYM
@
NYY
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #10 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+207)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.5-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.2° mark in the last two weeks.
LAA
@
WAS
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
LAA (+103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Grayson Rodriguez brings significant bat-missing upside against a depleted Washington lineup scuffling with an 80 wRC+ over the past two weeks. Washington's bullpen has completely imploded (7.97 ERA, 4.54 SIERA, 11.9% BB%), leaving Jake Irvin with zero margin for error in an even-money pick'em spot.
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
BAL
@
TOR
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. In the last two weeks, Pete Alonso's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.8%.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game.
HOU
@
TB
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the best ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Projection 0.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the best ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve's launch angle lately (22.8° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 10.6° seasonal angle.
LAD
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Posting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Freddie Freeman finds himself in the 80th percentile.. Posting a .363 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Freddie Freeman has performed in the 91st percentile.
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Posting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Freddie Freeman finds himself in the 80th percentile.. Posting a .363 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Freddie Freeman has performed in the 91st percentile.
CLE
@
MIN
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Royce Lewis is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The #6 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The 10th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Target Field.. In the league, the 5th-tallest average fence height are at Target Field.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Home Runs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Royce Lewis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 93.4-mph over the past 7 days.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.6°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° mark last year.
CIN
@
MIL
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. American Family Field ranks as the #8 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Hector Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hector Rodriguez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. American Family Field projects as the #8 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
CHW
@
STL
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
PIT
@
CHC
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:20 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Boyd o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matthew Boyd has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Flores, Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz).. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Wills) behind the plate in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.
Total RBIs
Rafael Flores Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Flores in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Rafael Flores is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Rafael Flores will have an edge in today's matchup.. Rafael Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
KC
@
BOS
Sun, Sep 13 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (95%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Payton Tolle throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (93%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Payton Tolle throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's matchup.
SEA
@
ATH
Sun, Sep 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.9-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 14th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°.
TEX
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 13 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ezequiel Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Hits
Corbin Carroll u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.
SD
@
SF
Sun, Sep 13 • 7:20 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Bryce Eldridge will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year, compiling a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .039 gap.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
