
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Picks & Best Bets for ALCS Game 5
Total PicksSF 337, WAS 201
Harold Ramirez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game. When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 29% of the time. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 6th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Harold Ramirez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89-mph average last year has fallen to 86.8-mph.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph average. Mike Yastrzemski has put up a .321 BABIP this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Michael Conforto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph. Michael Conforto's launch angle this year (15.6°) is significantly better than his 11.7° figure last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, James Wood's 64% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.
CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Luis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luis Garcia has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last 7 days. Luis Garcia's launch angle this year (9.1°) is significantly higher than his 4.5° figure last season.
Juan Yepez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Juan Yepez will have the upper hand in today's game. Juan Yepez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Juan Yepez sports a .324 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season. With a .271 batting average since the start of last season, Juan Yepez is positioned in the 88th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today. Jacob Young's launch angle of late (7.7° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 4.4° seasonal angle.
Marco Luciano's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Marco Luciano will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Marco Luciano has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Marco Luciano has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days. In the last week, Marco Luciano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.1-mph over the course of the season to 88.2-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Heliot Ramos will have the handedness advantage over DJ Herz in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Heliot Ramos has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days.
Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an edge in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 23.1%. Over the last week, Tyler Fitzgerald's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jerar Encarnacion will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today. Jerar Encarnacion has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jerar Encarnacion has been hot of late, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last week's worth of games. Jerar Encarnacion has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the past week — 112.3-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power.
Alex Call is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Alex Call will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today. Alex Call has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today's game. Matt Chapman has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Matt Chapman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.8-mph mark.
Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (25.1° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.4° seasonal angle. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .293, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .266 wOBA.
Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an edge today. Over the last 14 days, Casey Schmitt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately. There has been a significant improvement in Casey Schmitt's launch angle from last season's 14.9° to 21.1° this year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) implies that Casey Schmitt has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .202 actual batting average.
LaVictor Lipscomb will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. LaVictor Lipscomb has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's game. LaVictor Lipscomb has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .209 mark is a fair amount lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Mark Canha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today's game. Posting a 1.98 K/BB rate this year, Mark Canha has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Ildemaro Vargas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Posting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 92nd percentile. Ildemaro Vargas has recorded a .268 batting average this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
All Giants Money Leaders |
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
All Nationals Money Leaders |