Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 09:56 AM ET • 3 min read

Our Penguins vs. Golden Knights predictions expect Mitch Marner to shine at home.

NHL

Match starts: 10 hrs
PIT
47 %
VEG
53 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Mitch Marner o0.5  Assists (-110) Mitch Marner o0.5 Assists (-110)
Read Analysis
Mitch Marner Vegas Golden Knights NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Mitch Marner skates up the ice with the puck.

Mitch Marner is one of the most dynamic and productive playmakers in the NHL.

His production is especially impressive on home soil, and my Penguins vs. Golden Knights predictions and NHL picks expect him to build on his totals tonight.

Penguins vs Golden Knights prediction

Penguins vs Golden Knights best bet: Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-115)

Mitch Marner has 47 assists through 64 games, tying him with Cale Makar for 16th among all players in helpers.

He’s done his best work in Vegas. Marner has recorded an assist in 65% of his home games and 69% following one day of rest.

Marner has been skating with Pavel Dorofeyev, who leads the team in goals. Bruce Cassidy gave him further weaponry to work with last time out, shifting Tomas Hertl to join that unit as well.

With such strong finishers by his side, Marner is poised to produce against a Pittsburgh Penguins team that has allowed 16 goals over the last four games.

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Penguins vs Golden Knights same-game parlay

The Vegas Golden Knights deploy Pavel Dorofeyev in favorable matchups at home, helping him make more happen offensively. He's averaged 2.9 shots on goal and managed a 61% Over rate in Vegas. He should get plenty of looks playing on a line with Marner.

Without Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, the Penguins are likely to be overmatched against a very talented Golden Knights team desperate to get a win.

Penguins vs Golden Knights SGP

  • Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists
  • Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 shots
  • Golden Knights moneyline

Penguins vs Golden Knights odds

  • Moneyline: Penguins +130 | Golden Knights -150
  • Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-180) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-130)

Penguins vs Golden Knights trend

Mitch Marner has assists in seven of his last 10 home games after one day off. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Penguins vs Golden Knights

Location T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Puck drop 10:00 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet Pittsburgh, Vegas 34

Penguins vs Golden Knights latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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