Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 16, 2026 , 10:01 AM ET • 3 min read

Cordell's prediction: Valeri Nichushkin benefits from playing next to Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas on the Avalanche's top line, grabbing at least a point vs. the Penguins.

NHL

Match starts: 10 hrs
PIT
30 %
COL
70 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Valeri Nichushkin o0.5  Points (-130) Valeri Nichushkin o0.5 Points (-130)
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Valeri Nichushkin Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche right wing Valeri Nichushkin (13) celebrates his goal in the third period against the Edmonton Oilers.

Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas are one of the best offensive duos in the NHL, and Valeri Nichushkin is riding shotgun.

My Penguins vs. Avalanche predictions expect the veteran power winger to take full advantage of the increased opportunity.

Let’s get into my NHL picks for Monday, March 16.

Penguins vs Avalanche prediction

Penguins vs Avalanche best bet: Valeri Nichushkin Over 0.5 points (-115)

The Colorado Avalanche are dealing with a wave of injuries up front, most notably to Artturi Lehkonen and Gabriel Landeskog.

Valeri Nichushkin is on the top line with Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas as a result, providing him a golden opportunity to find the scoresheet.

MacKinnon and Necas hold the team's top two slots in 5-on-5 points by a wide margin. Playing alongside them will raise Nichushkin's floor and ceiling.

Nichushkin has averaged more than two points per 60 with MacKinnon, and that trio has posted an encouraging 72% xG share through 18 minutes.

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Penguins vs Avalanche same-game parlay

MacKinnon and Nichushkin both rank Top-3 on the Avalanche in 5-on-5 shot rate. Necas? 9th. He is much more selective as a shooter, giving him high assist equity on this line.

The Avalanche have outscored opponents by 1.64 goals per game at home following a day of rest. The Pittsburgh Penguins have allowed 3+ goals in six straight and are unlikely to stop the bleeding in this matchup.

Penguins vs Avalanche SGP

  • Valeri Nichushkin Over 0.5 points
  • Martin Necas Over 0.5 assists
  • Avalanche -1.5

Penguins vs Avalanche odds

  • Moneyline: Penguins +195 | Avalanche -240
  • Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-120) | Avalanche -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-120) | Under 6.5 (+100)

Penguins vs Avalanche trend

The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.70 Units / 16% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Penguins vs Avalanche

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Monday, March 16, 2026
Puck drop 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Penguins vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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