Canadiens vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 5

The Canadiens had some life heading into the third period of Game 4, but now face elimination in Washington. As Ryan Gilbert explains, Cole Caulfield will need to come up big if the Habs want to extend the series.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Apr 30, 2025 • 16:04 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Montreal Canadiens forward Cole Caufield (13) looks to bat a puck in midair.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Montreal Canadiens forward Cole Caufield looks on.

The Washington Capitals will try to close out their series against the Montreal Canadiens tonight at Capital One Arena.

However, my Canadiens vs. Capitals predictions target Cole Caufield to find the back of the net in the best NHL picks on Wednesday, April 30.

Who will win Canadiens vs Capitals Game 5?

The Montreal Canadiens gave their home fans some excitement with a 6-3 win while outshooting the Washington Capitals 40-21. However, the Capitals bounced back to silence Montreal with a 5-2 win in Game 4 with the Habs' two goals both coming on the power play.

The Capitals are 28-9-6 at home this season while the Canadiens are 17-20-6 on the road. The Habs have a bright future, but the Caps are going to close it out here in Game 5.

Canadiens vs Capitals prediction

My Canadiens vs Capitals pick: Cole Caufield to score (+180 at Sports Interaction)

Montreal Canadiens winger Cole Caufield has been all over the ice in this first-round series. He leads the Canadiens in shots on goal (21), shot attempts (38), and is behind only linemate Juraj Slafkovsky in scoring chances (14) and high-danger chances (6).

The diminutive winger has come up big on the game’s biggest stage. He scored in Games 1, 3, and 4 of this series and has become the main triggerman on the power play with Patrik Laine out.

Caufield had 37 goals in 82 regular-season games, so he now has 40 goals in 86 games this season. He's scored a goal in 33 of 86 games overall for a 38% hit rate, which is slightly better than the 35.71% implied by this +180 price.

Canadiens vs Capitals same-game parlay (SGP)

Caufield to score

Ovechkin to score

Capitals moneyline

Alex Ovechkin had 44 goals in just 65 games in the regular season and has three through four games in the playoffs. Whether it be from his office on the power play, at even strength, or even an empty-netter, Ovi is a great bet to find the back of the net in a clinching game.

Back the big guns to both score and the Caps to take care of business at a 6/1 price.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Canadiens vs Capitals odds

Canadiens vs Capitals live odds

Canadiens vs Capitals opening odds

  • Puck line: Montreal +1.5 (-160) | Washington -1.5 (+135)
  • Moneyline: Montreal +158 | Washington -180
  • Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Canadiens vs Capitals trend

The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (+14.10 Units / 11% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Capitals.

How to watch Canadiens vs Capitals

Location Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Date Wednesday, 4-30-2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Canadiens vs Capitals latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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