No. 23 Texas A&M and No. 10 LSU enter Saturday’s SEC clash at 2-1, with the Aggies 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and the Tigers 1-2 ATS. LSU is favored by 9.5 at Tiger Stadium, where kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET.
My Texas A&M vs. LSU prediction backs the road underdog, with more college football picks focusing on a potentially low-scoring matchup.
TOP PICK
Who will win Texas A&M vs LSU: Texas A&M +8.5
The Texas A&M Aggies +8.5 are tradable down to +7.5 because this spread has moved too much from the offseason look-ahead of LSU Tigers -3.
I understand Death Valley is a tough place to play and Texas A&M just lost at home 31-21 to an unranked Kentucky. But that's why the market has moved toward LSU, and I'd rather fade a move this big.
Aggies head coach Mike Elko has built an elite program. According to 247sports.com, Texas A&M has a higher team talent composite rating, and this is Tigers head coach Lane Kiffin's first season.
Also, I don't trust Tigers QB Sam Leavitt, who played through an injury last week and finished with just 158 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception in a 32-24 loss to Ole Miss.
COVERS INTEL: Tigers QB Sam Leavitt ranks 14th out of 16 SEC quarterbacks in pass rating, and Aggies QB Marcel Reed is dead last. 
Texas A&M vs LSU Over/Under pick: Under 52.5
Give me Under 52.5, and I'd go as low as 48.5, since 48 is another important key number for college football totals. It's only a lean, though, because the best number is long gone after this total opened at 57.5. However, I think it's sharp action because the public usually bets Overs.
Plus, I can make a better football-based argument for the Under. Both defenses have better conversion rates on third down and in the red zone. According to GameOnPaper.com, both offenses have a below-average explosive play rate. Both pass rushes have an edge over the opponent's pass protection.
Texas A&M vs LSU combo
I'm handicapping a slower, tighter game than the market expects. The Aggies have enough talent to stay within one score, while both offenses have struggled to generate explosive plays and face pass rushes capable of disrupting their shaky quarterback play.
If LSU and Texas A&M don't get out to a fast start, the first-half Under should hit, while a lower-scoring script naturally helps the Aggies stay inside +9.5.
Texas A&M vs LSU combo
- Texas A&M +9.5
- Under 52.5
- Under 26.5 first-half
- Top picks: 6-9, -4.38 units
- Combos: 2-13, -7.25 units
Texas A&M vs LSU odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Texas A&M +9.5 | LSU -9.5
- Over/Under: Over 52.5 (51%) | Under 52.5 (54%)
- Moneyline: Texas A&M 26% | LSU 77%
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Texas A&M vs LSU weather
The forecast is calling for temperatures in the mid-80s in Baton Rouge on Saturday, with no chance of rain.
Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Texas A&M vs LSU trend to know
Since Elko took over in 2024, the Aggies have won and covered both meetings with the Tigers. Find more college football betting trends for Texas A&M vs. LSU.
How to watch Texas A&M vs LSU
| Location | Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La. |
| Date | Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Texas A&M vs LSU latest injuries
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