Make Some Cash In-Game With These Super Bowl 57 Live Betting Strategies

Live betting Super Bowl LVII will be one of the most popular ways to wager on the Big Game. Here are tips and scenarios on how to live bet the Super Bowl.

Last Updated: Feb 12, 2023 5:24 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) throws for a completion while falling to the ground during the fourth quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Lincoln Financial Field.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s Super Bowl Sunday, and the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles have just kicked off. The beer is cold, the pizza is hot, you’ve made all your Big Game wagers, and have all your bets down on Super Bowl props.

Nothing more to do than sit back and enjoy the action, right?

Well, unless you want to miss out on all the excitement and extra value of live betting on Super Bowl 57. In-game wagering on the Big Game is incredibly popular as sportsbooks react and adjust to the second-by-second outcomes on the field.

If you’re new to live betting on Super Bowl odds or a seasoned in-game veteran, here are some possible live betting strategies and scenarios to watch for and how you should treat them in the in-play markets.

Scenario: Slow start in first half

Best live bets

  • Under
  • Chiefs point spread

If the opening 15 minutes of Super Bowl LVII are a snore-fest, don’t push the panic button. We’ve routinely seen competing teams start slow as Big Game nerves get the best of them, leading to errant throws or bad drops. A look to the Over could be worth it, depending on how those offenses stall in the opening frame.

But if that stalemate continues into the second quarter, something could be up. We have two of the best first-half scoring attacks in the NFL and two teams that push the tempo in terms of seconds per play in the opening 30 minutes.

If the Chiefs and Eagles are having trouble finding the end zone, you’re going to have to tip your cap to these two defenses.

Philadelphia and Kansas City both possess vaunted pass rushes that are able to create pressure without the blitz and have solid secondaries that protect against the big plays. If that pressure is getting to the QB, you will see quicker, shorter/intermediate throws and more run – short gains that keep the clock ticking with little time for home runs to develop.

A slow start and tight first half benefit the Chiefs as well. Philadelphia has been able to explode out of the gate against most foes, which leaves opponents playing from behind and going pass-heavy with the playbook. If Kansas City can slow the Eagles early on, they’re right at home in close contests with an offense that ranks No. 1 in DVOA when tied/losing small at Football Outsiders.

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Scenario: Eagles grab early lead

Best live bets

  • Eagles RBs/Hurts Rushing Overs
  • Mahomes Completions Over
  • Eagles Sack prop Overs
  • Second half Under

Jumping out to early leads has been Philadelphia’s calling card this season. The Eagles boasted an average margin of more than nine points at the halftime break and trailed after two quarters in only three games in which Jalen Hurts was under center.

Should the Eagles own a comfy edge in the first half and the Chiefs struggle to score – like they did early on against Cincinnati – it activates a lot of positives for Philly.

The Eagles have the best ground-and-pound offense in the NFL, with the zone-read playbook loaded with capable ball carriers, including dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts. Kansas City’s sore spot on offense is the run game, which ranks 22nd in EPA allowed per handoff.

According to Football Outsiders, Philadelphia goes from the fastest first-half pace (25.36 seconds per play) to 26th in the final two quarters (28.99) as they chew up possession and clock. That will limit Patrick Mahomes's touches and force the Chiefs to go faster and pass-heavy.

With the Eagles' pass rush bringing the heat and the secondary protecting against anything over the top, Mahomes will be left with quick hits underneath – great for completion Overs. And with Philly not worried about the run, the Eagles could stack up the sacks.

That plodding pace from Philadelphia and the Chiefs limited in possessions opens the door for second half Unders as well, either on the live line or on the derivative number coming out at the halftime break. The Eagles finished with a 6-12-1 Over/Under record against second-half totals this season – the fifth best 2H Under bet.

Scenario: Kansas City starts strong

Best live bets

  • Hurts Passing Yards Over
  • A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith Receiving Overs
  • Over Kupp, Beckham longest reception
  • Hurts Interceptions Over
  • Over

If the Chiefs roll down the field and score with ease on their early possessions, we could be in for a wild Super Bowl.

Philadelphia is among the defensive elite but hasn’t faced any quarterback as exceptional as Mahomes and, truthfully, hasn’t played many quality QBs en route to the Big Game. If we look back at the Eagles’ 2022 resume, they found themselves in shootouts against capable passing attacks like Detroit, Green Bay, and Dallas (Week 16). Live bettors may want to lean into the Over and enjoy the ride.

As for how a quick KC lead would impact the in-game prop markets, Overs on Hurts’ passing props would be the first stop considering the Eagles can’t dial down the tempo in the second half with a run-heavy approach. Philadelphia is a solid passing offense as well, with guys like A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and TE Dallas Goedert all seeing an uptick in targets, should Philly fall behind.

You could also cap the chaos coming Hurts’ way as well. With the Chiefs taking the spikes out of the Eagles' ground game, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo can dial up more blitz along with a dangerous front four. That would make the Over on sacks props live as well as give some value to Over on Hurts’ interception totals. The Eagles QB has felt pressure on less than 19% of his dropbacks but, according to PFF, grades out 36th among quarterbacks when under pressure with a completion rate of just 45%.

Scenario: Kansas City trails close and late

Best live bets

  • Chiefs Moneyline
  • Touchdown Next Drive Result

Much like wrinkly-chinned purple alien Thanos, a Patrick Mahomes late-game comeback is “inevitable”.

In just five short seasons, Mahomes has inserted his name among the NFL’s passing greats, in large part due to his heroics in the fourth quarter.

We need only to look back at the AFC Championship for an example of his clutch play, driving the Chiefs into field goal range with one good leg (and the help of a dumb late hit from Cincy) to win 23-20 and punch their ticket to Phoenix.

Mahomes owns 16 career fourth-quarter comebacks and 17 game-winning drives, according to Pro Football Reference. And should the Chiefs find themselves in the fourth quarter trailing in a close Super Bowl showdown, everyone and their dog will be smashing the KC moneyline in the in-game markets.

According to Football Outsiders, Kansas City is No. 3 in Offensive DVOA in “late and close” situations, No. 7 in DVOA in fourth quarters, and No. 1 in DVOA on third/fourth downs – including third/fourth and long. The Chiefs own the highest EPA per play on third down and sit second highest on fourth down, with a success rate of 76.9%.

And while the Eagles rank up there in terms of positive late-game metrics, this squad hasn’t faced many pressure situations along the way. Philadelphia has been tied or trailed at the halftime break in only four games all year, and its only true “comeback” win was against the Colts in Week 11.

How to live bet the Super Bowl

Just like the Boss sang, you can’t start a fire without a spark. If you want to learn how to live bet the Big Game, make sure you have an out that allows that. Depending on where you call home or where you’re watching the Super Bowl, online sports betting may or may not be available (select casinos will take live bets at the counter for special events).

For those lucky enough to have the option, shop around a bit before depositing into a sportsbook and make sure they have the in-game odds you want to bet. Most books will allow visitors to view the available markets without signing up, so browse around between now and kickoff (I wouldn’t wait that long) and see which operators tickle your in-running fancy. 

With in-game odds now at your fingertips, how are you going to live bet the heaviest wagered-on single event of the year in North America? We don’t have a crystal ball, so the outcome of Super Bowl LVII is very much unknown, but we do have some pointers for betting football in-running odds specifically.

Look at the key numbers

Key numbers are important when capping pregame odds and are equally as important when betting in-running odds. Due to the scoring system in football, NFL games are more often decided by the same margin of points: three, six, seven, and 10. Betting on and around those key numbers can be the difference, especially when it comes to the Super Bowl—the most scrutinized and drum-tight line of the entire season.

The current Super Bowl LVII spread has the Eagles laying 1.5 points as favorites — close to the key number of one. But, should the Chiefs open scoring with a touchdown, the live spread may swing close to a field goal or in the range of -3.5 to -4. Should Kansas City add another TD to open a 14-0 lead, you may see Philadelphia +9.5, +10, or even +10.5, depending on game flow and the clock.

Most books will offer up multiple alternate in-game spreads and totals too, not just serving up one live line, so you can shop a little bit and lay the extra vig (cost of making the bet) to get a better spread around a key number that fits your opinion.

Plus money can be a negative

An important thing to keep in mind when sorting through the tempting Super Bowl live markets: don’t fall in love with plus money. Oftentimes, in-game bettors hunt only for plus-money offerings (bets that return more than your original wager) and ignore what could be great value on a line that you have to lay a little lumber to get. Don’t forget that little “+” is there for a reason.

Slow starts = Over/Under betting value

Before we send you off into the in-game wagering wilderness, I do have one live betting tidbit to share for Super Bowl. Opening quarters have been somewhat uneventful in the Big Game, with the first 15 minutes seeing just 69 total points over the last 10 Super Bowls, which is an average of just less than seven per first quarter in that span.

Last year, the Rams and Bengals did hang 10 points on the board in the first quarter of Super Bowl LVI, but there have been goose eggs on the scoreboard in the opening frame of the Super Bowl in three of those previous 11 championship showdowns. Chalk it up to nerves and skill players being a little tight or the defenses just being amped up to hit someone after a two-week break: whatever the cause, it’s been slow going in Super Bowl first quarters.

Given that piece of info, keep an eye on the in-game Over/Under. If the Chiefs and Eagles come out slow like some previous Big Game contenders, there could be value playing the Over on the adjusted live total (the early Super Bowl total is at 51 points), especially with two explosive offenses that are tied for the league lead in average points per game.

Live betting Super Bowl player props

If you like betting Super Bowl props, make sure your operator of choice offers live markets around player performance. Examples of live player props odds you can live bet on include passing props, touchdown props, receiving props, and rushing props.

How to bet on the Super Bowl

The Super Bowl's popularity is always bringing in new sports bettors. Before you start betting on the Big Game, brush up on how to bet the Super Bowl with our extensive guide.

Where can you live bet the Super Bowl?

Almost all regulated sportsbooks offer live betting options for the Super Bowl. This includes live markets for moneylines, spreads, Over/Unders and props. If you're looking to make some in-game wagers on Super Bowl 56 make sure you're signed up at the best Super Bowl betting sites.

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