NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 4 Game Today

Chris Vasile breaks down his favorite NFL picks against the spread for Week 4, including the Seattle Seahawks and Kansas City Chiefs.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Sep 28, 2025 • 09:31 ET • 4 min read
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) throws the ball.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) throws the ball.

Week 4 of the NFL season is here, and with it comes another full slate of betting opportunities.

From divisional rivalries to another Monday Night Football doubleheader, we’ve broken down every game on the schedule with our best NFL picks against the spread. 

Whether you’re looking for sharp edges, potential upsets, or just a little action to sweat on Sunday, here’s how we see each matchup shaking out.

Week 4 NFL picks against the spread

Matchup Pick
Seahawks Seahawks vs Cardinals Cardinals  Seahawks (+1.5)
Vikings Vikings vs Steelers Steelers  Steelers (+2.5)
Titans Titans vs Texans Texans Texans (-7.5)
Panthers Panthers vs Patriots Patriots  Patriots (-5.5)
Chargers Chargers vs Giants Giants  Chargers (-6.5)
Saints Saints vs Bills Bills Saints(+16.5)
Eagles Eagles vs Buccaneers Buccaneers  Eagles (-3.5)
Commanders Commanders vs Falcons Falcons Falcons (+2.5)
Browns Browns vs Lions Lions  Browns (+8.5)
Colts Colts vs Rams Rams Rams (-3.5)
Jaguars Jaguars vs 49ers 49ers Jaguars (+3.5)
Bears Bears vs Raiders Raiders Bears (+1.5)
Ravens Ravens vs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs(+2.5)
Packers Packers vs Cowboys Cowboys Packers (-6.5)
Jets Jets vs Dolphins Dolphins Jets (+2.5)
Bengals Bengals vs Broncos Broncos Broncos (-7)

Lines courtesy of FanDuel.

Covers Pro Football Survivor

Expert Week 4 NFL ATS picks

Seahawks vs. Cardinals: Seahawks (+1.5)

We were on the Cardinals last week vs. the 49ers, and we were lucky to get the cover at +1.5. The Cardinals couldn't muster up anything offensively, and the loss of James Conner will hurt their run game. The Seahawks 'got right' vs. the lowly Saints, and I believe they're the right side in this TNF match. 

Vikings vs. Steelers: Steelers (+2.5)

I trusted Jake Browning in his first full start on the road. That was a mistake. I will not do the same for Carson Wentz, even if the game is in Dublin. The Steelers defense will shut the door, and Aaron Rodgers will deliver another solid performance. 

Read our full Vikings vs. Steelers predictions.

Titans vs. Texans: Texans (-7.5)

The Titans have a bad rookie QB in Cam Ward, a head coach who will likely be shown the door this year, and a Bottom 5 defense. If the Texans can't get in the win column here in a big way, then so be it. 

Read our full Titans vs. Texans predictions.

Panthers vs. Patriots: Patriots (-5.5)

The Carolina Panthers won 30-0 last week vs. the Atlanta Falcons. If, for a second, you think they are now a good team. Please, do not bet on this game. 

Read our full Panthers vs. Patriots predictions.

Chargers vs. Giants: Chargers (-6.5)

Russell Wilson, Jaxson Dart, hell, even Kirby Smart. It doesn't matter... the Chargers cover this one easily. 

Read our full Chargers vs. Giants predictions.

Saints vs. Bills: Saints (+16.5)

I've picked the Saints in each of the last two weeks, and we are 1-1 ATS doing so. This is a massive number, and with the Bills hosting SNF against the Patriots next week, the backdoor is wide open. 

Read our full Saints vs. Bills predictions.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers: Eagles (-3.5)

Mike Evans will miss some time with an injury. That is an evergreen statement. You know what else is evergreen? The Eagles' ability to win close games and cover spreads. 

Read our full Eagles vs. Buccaneers predictions.

Commanders vs. Falcons: Falcons (+2.5)

I wholeheartedly believe the Falcons are not as bad as they appeared to be last week. That was a tough spot for them coming off a prime-time win vs. the Vikings. Now, with a week to stew, I say we get their best effort in an upset win vs. the Commanders. 

Read our full Commanders vs. Falcons predictions.

Browns vs. Lions: Browns (+8.5)

The Lions are coming off a back-and-forth win vs. the Baltimore Ravens, and now get to host the lowly Browns. Just like last week, the Cleveland defense can be the difference maker, and at +8.5, that's too many points. 

Read our full Browns vs. Lions predictions.

Colts vs. Rams: Rams (-3.5)

I'm still not sold on the Colts being good. They've beaten up on the Dolphins and Titans (barf) and should have lost to the Broncos. I'll take Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford at home. 

Read our full Colts vs. Rams predictions.


Covers NFL betting tools


Jaguars vs. 49ers: Jaguars (+3.5)

Trevor Lawrence vs. Mac Jones and/or Brock Purdy. Tough one, but I'll take the hook here on the field goal. 

Read our full Jaguars vs. 49ers predictions.

Bears vs. Raiders: Bears (+1.5)

For whatever reason (maybe Mark Davis' haircut), the Raiders are never good enough. For that reason, I will side with the Chicago Bears and an offense that looked like it had a pulse last week. 

Read our full Bears vs. Raiders predictions.

Ravens vs. Chiefs: Chiefs (+2.5)

I'm picking the Chiefs for two reasons. The Ravens' defense is extremely poor, and the Chiefs don't lose at home.

Read our full Ravens vs. Chiefs predictions.

Packers vs. Cowboys: Packers (-6.5)

The Packers blew a very winnable game last week, but the Cowboys' defense stunk up the joint. Give me Micah Parsons to wreak havoc on the Dallas offensive line, and Jordan Love to drop 35+ on the Cowboys defense. 

Read our full Packers vs. Cowboys predictions.

Jets vs. Dolphins: Jets (+2.5)

There is nothing in this article that says you MUST watch this game. But, if you do, you'll want to take the Jets and the points. 

Read our full Jets vs. Dolphins predictions.

Bengals vs. Broncos: Broncos (-7)

There are many people concerned about the Broncos, but I'm not there yet. Anything short of a 10+ point win vs. a bad Bengals team will be an issue. This team has solid pieces in place; they just need to play a full 60-minute game. 

Read our full Bengals vs. Broncos predictions.

My NFL ATS record is 25-23 this season for -0.3 units.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade, honing his craft as a writer, editor, and handicapper. Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet', BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid. He also runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

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