Packers vs Bears Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Wild Card Weekend

Logan's prediction: Jayden Reed is set up to slice and dice the Chicago defense.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2026 • 09:00 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 22 hrs
CHI
58 %
GB
42 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jayden Reed o40.5  Rush and Rec Yards (-114) Jayden Reed o40.5 Rush and Rec Yards (-114)
Read Analysis
Jayden Reed Green Bay Packers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (11) runs for a gain.

The third and final chapter of a film trilogy tends to miss more often than it hits. For every “Return of the King”, we get plenty of “Rise of Skywalker”.

What does the third battle between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears have in store? We’ll find out in Saturday’s Wild Card clash.

One thing I do know: we’ll see plenty of Green Bay receiver Jayden Reed — through the air and on the ground — when the whistle blows in the Windy City. 

Here are my best Packers vs. Bears predictions and NFL picks for January 10.

Packers vs Bears prediction

Packers vs Bears Best bet: Jayden Reed Over 40.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114)

Jayden Reed is the Green Bay Packers’ primary slot receiver, a role that has consistently given the Chicago Bears problems. In two meetings with Chicago, Reed posted three catches for 35 yards in one game and four receptions for 41 yards in the other.

Reed’s impact isn’t limited to the passing game. Against the Bears, he’s also been used as a ball carrier, logging three rushes for 28 total yards across those two matchups.

Most receiving projections have Reed hovering around 45 yards, while his rushing props typically assume at least one carry, with a ceiling of 5.5 rushing yards.

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Packers vs Bears same-game parlay

The Bears are in far better shape than their divisional rivals, with the Packers dealing with injuries on both sides of the ball. Chicago’s rushing attack has been especially impressive down the stretch, and that will provide the foundation for a Wild Card win by the “Monsters of the Midway.”

Reed has been a Swiss Army knife since returning from injury in December and should be at full strength for this matchup. The Packers’ slot receiver draws a favorable matchup against a Chicago secondary that has struggled to contain slot wideouts.

D’Andre Swift leads Chicago’s two-headed backfield, giving the Bears one of the league’s more effective ground games in the second half of the season. He’s a threat to score on the ground or through the air and has already totaled 10 touchdowns this year.

Packers vs Bears SGP

  • Bears moneyline
  • Jayden Reed Over 40.5 rushing + receiving yards
  • D’Andre Swift anytime touchdown

Our big-ticket SGP: The Gift of Swift

I bet the Bears to cover in the Wild Card Round, basing that handicap on Chicago’s ability to run the ball.

Swift isn’t just a weapon on the ground. He’s a great pass-catching option with projections calling for 16+ receiving yards.

The veteran running back has doubled up on tuddies in two of his last four outings.

Packers vs Bears SGP

  • Bears moneyline
  • D’Andre Swift Over 13.5 receiving yards
  • D’Andre Swift to score 2+ touchdowns

Packers vs Bears odds

  • Spread: Packers +1 (-115) | Bears -1 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Packers -105 | Bears -115
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-110) | Under 46.5 (-110)

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Packers vs Bears trend to know

Chicago is 5-2-2 ATS as a home underdog over the past three seasons. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Bears.

How to watch Packers vs Bears

Location Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Date Saturday, January 10, 2026
Kickoff 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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