Falcons vs Patriots Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 9

Drake Maye has been on fire this season, and our expert Week 9 NFL predictions have Maye slinging at least two touchdown passes Sunday against the Atlanta Falcons.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Oct 31, 2025 • 16:49 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 35 hrs
NE
71 %
ATL
29 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Drake Maye o1.5  Passing Touchdowns (-172) Drake Maye o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-172)
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Drake Maye of the New England Patriots
Photo By - Imagn Images. Drake Maye of the New England Patriots.

The New England Patriots are looking to stay hot when they host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon.

New England is currently riding a five-game winning streak, and my Falcons vs. Patriots predictions have them continuing that run against an Atlanta team that has dropped two straight.

Find out more in my free NFL picks for November 2.

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Falcons vs Patriots prediction

Falcons vs Patriots Best bet: Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-172)

It’s no coincidence that Drake Maye has been heating up right alongside his team. He has multiple touchdown passes in six of eight games this season, including a total of eight during his three-game streak.

Tua Tagovailoa lit up the Atlanta Falcons for four touchdowns last time out after Atlanta held Mac Jones and the beat-up 49ers offense to no passing touchdowns. Before that, though, both Josh Allen and Marcus Mariota had a pair of touchdowns each.

Maye and the New England Patriots should keep clicking at home on Sunday afternoon.

Falcons vs Patriots same-game parlay

Bijan Robinson was held out of the end zone last week after a three-game scoring streak. He’s the focal point of the Falcons’ offense, and adding him to score a touchdown gives us a nice contrarian leg along with the Patriots to cover and our best bet of Maye to throw multiple touchdown passes

Falcons vs Patriots SGP

  • Drake Maye Over 1.5 touchdown passes
  • Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown
  • New England Patriots -5.5

Our big-ticket SGP: Maye Day!

Maye is capable of making things happen with his arm and his legs. He’s scored a rushing touchdown in two games this season, and he threw two touchdown passes in both of those games as well. This certainly doesn’t seem as crazy as the 21/1 odds suggest.

Falcons vs Patriots SGP

  • Drake Maye Over 1.5 touchdown passes
  • Drake Maye anytime touchdown
  • Drake Maye Over 30.5 rushing yards
  • Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown
  • New England Patriots -5.5

Falcons vs Patriots odds

  • Spread: Falcons +4.5 (-110) | Patriots -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Falcons +195 | Patriots -235
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-105) | Under 46.5 (-115)

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Falcons vs Patriots trend to know

New England has covered the spread in 13 of its last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Falcons vs. Patriots.

How to watch Falcons vs Patriots

Location Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Date Sunday, November 2, 2025
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Falcons vs Patriots latest injuries

Falcons vs Patriots weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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