Atlanta @ New England Picks & Props

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots. While Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 6.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 13.2%. Rhamondre Stevenson has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game). In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been gouged for the most receiving TDs in football to running backs: 0.57 per game this year.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -5-point underdogs. The Falcons have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.0 plays per game. Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 26.3% this year, which puts him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs. Drake London's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wideouts. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been gouged for the most receiving TDs in football to running backs: 0.57 per game this year.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -5-point underdogs. The Falcons have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.0 plays per game. Bijan Robinson has compiled a colossal 7.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among RBs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (94th percentile), Bijan Robinson places as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -5-point underdogs. The Falcons have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.0 plays per game. While Kyle Pitts has received 15.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Atlanta's offense near the goal line in this game at 21.2%. Kyle Pitts has totaled a monstrous 36.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to TEs. Kyle Pitts's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 30.4.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots. Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.2% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% mark. Opposing squads have run for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.57 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots. With a top-tier 24.2% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry has been among the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football. When talking about air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a colossal 38.0 per game. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. Hunter Henry grades out in the 89th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.44 per game.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. Opposing squads have run for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.57 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year. The Atlanta cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.