Eagles vs Raiders Week 7 Picks and Predictions: Birds Fly High in the Autumn Wind

Philly has kept games close most of the season and against a Raiders team turned upside down, it can do so again by taking away what Vegas does best. Find out more with our NFL betting picks and predictions for Eagles vs. Raiders.

Last Updated: Oct 24, 2021 2:44 PM ET Read Time: 5 min
Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After a dramatic week, the Las Vegas Raiders return to "sleepy" Sin City for a Week 7 matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles. 

The Raiders opened as 3-point home favorites, coming off an emotional victory in Denver last Sunday – just days removed from the dismissal of head coach Jon Gruden. Philadelphia, on the other hand, has enjoyed a mini bye after a hard-fought Thursday night home loss to Tampa Bay last week.

Check out our NFL free picks and predictions for Eagles at Raiders on October 24.

Eagles vs Raiders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Las Vegas opened as 3-point chalk coming back home in Week 7. The vig on that field goal spread is up to Raiders -3 (-120) at some books, indicating a potential move to -3.5 if money on the home side continues to come in. The total hit the board at 48.5 and moved briefly to 49 before settling back on the opening number.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Eagles vs Raiders picks

Picks made on 10/19/2021 at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Eagles vs Raiders game info

Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, CA
Date: Sunday, October 24, 2021
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Eagles at Raiders betting preview

Weather

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Key injuries

Eagles: Jack Anderson G (Out).
Raiders: Darren Waller TE (Out), Peyton Barber RB (Out), Richie Incognito OG (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as home favorites. Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. Raiders.

Eagles vs Raiders predictions

The Eagles did enough for Philly bettors by backdooring the Bucs as 6.5-point pups at home on Thursday Night Football, leaning on a second-half surge that saw the defense get key stops and the offense suddenly come to life – and run the football – behind the combo of Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders.

First-year head coach Nick Sirianni has had some extra days off to build on those flashes of success and gameplan for this Raiders team still reeling from the email scandal that cost Gruden his job and Vegas its offensive mastermind.

The Eagles stop unit has a chance to step up in this one. Philadelphia is middle of the road in most defensive measurements through six games but has also taken on some very strong scoring attacks in Dallas, Kansas City, and Tampa Bay. 

This Las Vegas offense is all over the place (22nd in DVOA) and while the Raiders were able to come up with a viable gameplan against a division foe they knew very well in Week 6, now they must figure out a foreign non-conference competitor with a brand-new coaching staff.

The Raiders’ biggest strength is something the Eagles just don’t allow: home run plays. Las Vegas leads the NFL with 32 passing plays of 20 or more yards, including five of 40-plus, and shredded a dinged-up Denver defense for big strikes last Sunday. 

Philadelphia, however, doesn’t blitz much and keeps everything in front of it, giving up only 11 passing plays of 20-yards or more (second-fewest in the NFL). That’s saying something, considering the Eagles have faced the likes of Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, and Tom Brady. The pass defense boasts an average depth of target of just 6.6 yards and the fifth-fewest air yards allowed in the land.

This spread is teetering on the half-point hook, so Eagles backers should wait for that move to +3.5. Philadelphia is keeping it competitive most weeks and takes on a home team primed for a letdown spot with the locker room still feeling the weight of last week.

When the Eagles' defense isn’t shortening up the Raiders' air attack, the Philadelphia offense will be chewing up the turf with the run game. Hopefully, for the sanity of Eagles fans everywhere. 

If the roar of the Philadelphia crowd after every running play on Thursday wasn’t enough of a sign that the Eagles need to handoff more, Sirianni agreed with his critics this week saying he too believes Sanders should touch the football more. 

Philly’s rushing game ranks No. 3 in Run DVOA at Football Outsiders – picking up 5.2 yards per carry – but Sirianni has called run on only 37.39 percent of offensive snaps so far this season. That shot up to 40.43 percent last Thursday, but Sanders ran for only 56 yards on nine carries (most of those in that late-game TD push) due to the Buccaneers dominating the football for nearly 40 minutes of possession.

Hurts’ mobility also helps that cause, with the second-year QB rushing for 44 yards on 10 carries along with two touchdowns on the ground in the loss to Tampa Bay. His passing performances have suffered but establishing a run game early in Week 7 will open up space and allow for more forgiveness when it comes to Hurts’ accuracy.

Vegas defensive coordinator Gus Bradley also loves to keep opponents in front of him, with the Raiders allowing a mere 13 passes of 20 yards or more. The Silver and Black may be 1-2 in their last three outings, but they’ve given up just five yards per play in those games – second lowest in the league during this span.

As mentioned, Hurts found the end zone twice in last week’s loss to Tampa Bay, which followed a two-TD effort versus Kansas City the game before. On the season, the Alabama-to-Oklahoma product has five rushing scores – tied for second-most with four running backs and Sam Darnold.

Las Vegas has struggled in the red zone on defense, allowing foes to find paydirt on 85.71 percent of their trips inside the Raiders’ 20-yard line. Vegas is 29th in red zone defense DVOA and faces a Philly attack that has cashed in those scoring chances.

The Eagles own a red zone TD rate of 70 percent on the year (seventh highest) and a red zone offense DVOA ranked No. 9 – No. 4 when it comes to the run inside the 20-yard line. Hurts is a big part of that scoring success.

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