NFL Christmas Day Games 2026: Predictions, Odds, and Early Picks

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 12, 2026 , 02:48 PM ET • 4 min read

With the 2026 NFL schedule set to release on Thursday, we take a look at last year's results while we wait to see who faces off on December 25.

Netflix Christmas GameDay cake.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Netflix Christmas GameDay cake.

Presents aren’t the only thing Santa Claus is bringing to town this Christmas.

The 2026 NFL schedule is also expected to deliver a Christmas Eve matchup ahead of a three-game slate on Christmas Day.

Once the full schedule is announced on Thursday, we’ll provide complete coverage of the latest NFL odds, betting lines, spreads, and matchup analysis for every game over the holiday season to help you get a head start on your NFL picks.

2026 NFL Christmas schedule & odds

We're tracking the 2026 NFL schedule release ahead of Thursday's full-season unveiling. We'll have the NFL Christmas Day matchups and odds available here shortly after the schedule is known.

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2025 NFL Christmas Day recap

There were three NFL games between divisional rivals on Christmas Day last season, and the underdog covered the number in each.

Cowboys vs Commanders

  • Moneyline: Cowboys 30-23
  • ATS: Washington +8
  • Total: Over 50.5

The Dallas Cowboys won outright, but the Washington Commanders were able to cover the number thanks to a field goal with 1:50 remaining. 

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott aired it out for 300 passing yards and two touchdowns to lead the Cowboys to their seventh win of the season, while Washington rookie running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the way on the ground with 100 rushing yards and two scores for the Commanders.

Lions vs Vikings

  • Moneyline: Vikings 23-10
  • ATS: Vikings +7
  • Total: Under 45

The Minnesota Vikings defense generated five turnovers from Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff — two interceptions and three forced fumbles — to pull off the home upset at U.S. Bank Stadium. 

It was the third straight loss for the injury-riddled Lions, and their second-lowest offensive output during the regular season. Minny was able to secure the win with third-string quarterback Max Brosmer throwing for just 51 yards, too.

Broncos vs Chiefs

  • Moneyline: Broncos 20-13
  • ATS: Broncos +6.5
  • Total: Under 45

It took a fourth-quarter receiving touchdown from Denver Broncos running back R.J. Harvey to secure the victory, as the Kansas City Chiefs battened down the defensive hatches to hold Bo Nix to just 4.8 yards per attempt — and a single 20-yard completion downfield. 

The vanilla Kansas City attack was unable to cover the number, as QB Chris Oladokun led the Chiefs to 139 total yards.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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