NFL Christmas Games 2026: Predictions, Odds, and Early Picks

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: May 14, 2026 , 08:56 PM ET • 4 min read

With the 2026 NFL schedule announced, we take a look at this year's games taking place on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Netflix Christmas GameDay cake.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Netflix Christmas GameDay cake.

Presents aren’t the only thing Santa Claus is bringing to town this Christmas.

The 2026 NFL schedule is letting fans open a gift on Christmas Eve, with the Texans and Eagles facing off before we all hit the hay and wait for Santa.

With the full schedule announced, here are the latest NFL odds, betting lines, spreads, and matchup analysis for every game over the holiday season to help you get a head start on your NFL picks.

2026 NFL Christmas schedule & odds

  • Dec. 24, 8:15 p.m. ET: Texans Texans at Eagles Eagles
  • Dec. 25, 1 p.m. ET: Packers Packers at Bears Bears 
  • Dec. 25, 4:30 p.m. ET: Bills Bills at Broncos Broncos
  • Nov. 26, 8:20 p.m. ET:  Rams Rams at Seahawks Seahawks
Matchup Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Texans Texans
vs
Eagles Eagles
Texans +2.5 -110
Eagles -2.5 -110
Texans +114
Eagles -138
o41.5 -110
 u41.5 -110

Packers Packers
vs
Bears Bears

Packers +1.5 -115
Bears -1.5 -105
Packers -102
Bears -118
o47.5 -110
u47.5 -110

Bills Bills
vs
Broncos Broncos

Bills -1.5 -110
Broncos +1.5 -110
Bills -125
Broncos  +105
o46.5 -110
u46.5 -110

Rams Rams
vs
Seahawks Seahawks

Rams +1.5 -115
Seahawks -1.5 -105
Rams  +100
Seahawks  -120
o47.5 -110
u47.5 -110
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Texans vs. Eagles early prediction

Pick: Under 41.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

Both defenses looked much better than the offenses last season, and with us still months out, I'll side with the Under here. CJ Stroud still has a lot to prove, and for all we know, the tush push could be banned by the time this game comes around. 

Packers vs Bears early prediction

Pick: Bears Bears -1.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

Ben Johnson and the Chicago Bears proved they were the real deal last season, almost pulling off the upset against the Rams in the Divisional.

Another year under Johnson will only make Caleb Williams more comfortable with his nutty playbook, and I could see the Bears being bigger favorites come the holiday season.

Bills vs Broncos early prediction

Pick: Bills Bills -1.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

I'm not saying Bo Nix won't come back as good, but I need to actually see him play first before I lay down any money on the Broncos — especially against Josh Allen & Co.

Rams vs Seahawks early prediction

Pick: Rams Rams +1.5 (-115 at DraftKings)

An NFC title rematch takes place while we're all recovering from the Christmas festivities, and I think the Rams get their revenge here. I need to see if last year was a one-hit wonder for Sam Darnold and just how big a loss Kenneth Walker is to this offense.

2025 NFL Christmas Day recap

There were three NFL games between divisional rivals on Christmas Day last season, and the underdog covered the number in each.

Cowboys vs Commanders

  • Moneyline: Cowboys 30-23
  • ATS: Washington +8
  • Total: Over 50.5

The Dallas Cowboys won outright, but the Washington Commanders were able to cover the number thanks to a field goal with 1:50 remaining. 

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott aired it out for 300 passing yards and two touchdowns to lead the Cowboys to their seventh win of the season, while Washington rookie running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the way on the ground with 100 rushing yards and two scores for the Commanders.

Lions vs Vikings

  • Moneyline: Vikings 23-10
  • ATS: Vikings +7
  • Total: Under 45

The Minnesota Vikings defense generated five turnovers from Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff — two interceptions and three forced fumbles — to pull off the home upset at U.S. Bank Stadium. 

It was the third straight loss for the injury-riddled Lions, and their second-lowest offensive output during the regular season. Minny was able to secure the win with third-string quarterback Max Brosmer throwing for just 51 yards, too.

Broncos vs Chiefs

  • Moneyline: Broncos 20-13
  • ATS: Broncos +6.5
  • Total: Under 45

It took a fourth-quarter receiving touchdown from Denver Broncos running back R.J. Harvey to secure the victory, as the Kansas City Chiefs battened down the defensive hatches to hold Bo Nix to just 4.8 yards per attempt — and a single 20-yard completion downfield. 

The vanilla Kansas City attack was unable to cover the number, as QB Chris Oladokun led the Chiefs to 139 total yards.

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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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