Utah vs Arizona Picks & Props
UTAH vs ARIZ Picks
NCAAF PicksThis sets up as a classic letdown spot for Utah following its emotional Holy War victory over BYU, and it's not like the Utes were particularly dominant in that game. Now they have to hit the road against an Arizona team that's been fairly consistent. The Wildcats have the better yards-per-play margin despite facing a tougher schedule. Throw in home-field advantage, and I think Arizona wins this game outright.
Playable to 51%.
Utah is unbeaten this season, but they have been on upset alert late in a few games during the last month. The Wildcats aren't a team that is going to blow many late leads. If the Utes are trailing late in the game this weekend, it could mean the end of their undefeated season.
Playable to 51%.
Devin Dampier has strong surface-level statistics this season -- 20 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, but he has struggled against better competition.
Facing No. 14 Houston and No. 9 BYU, Dampier has has completed only 32-of-52 pass attempts for 381 yards. He has an underwhelming 2-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in those games.
Three words. Fade. The. Storm.
People forget that it's weird to storm a field when you're not only ranked higher than your opponent, but also the favorite. Last week, No. 3 Utah took down No. 9 BYU in the Holy War. Following the win, the Utes faithful stormed the field in celebration.
Why? Game's gone.
Playable to 31%.
Arizona's best chance of delivering an upset this weekend is by getting pressure on Devon Dampier, forcing short drives and giving their offense a chance to control the clock. The Wildcats' defense has excelled in recent weeks getting after the quarterback -- if they can do that again this weekend, they will have a chance to prevail in a lower-scoring affair.
UTAH vs ARIZ Consensus Picks
UTAH vs ARIZ Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
N. Fifita
(QB)
u279.5 Passing Yards
253.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-26.2
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
D. Dampier
(QB)
o224.5 Passing Yards
233.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.4
DIFFERENCE
17.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Dampier
(QB)
o48.5 Rushing Yards
55.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.0
DIFFERENCE
23.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ARIZ
K. Reescano
(RB)
o36.5 Rushing Yards
39.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
14.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UTAH
W. Parker
(RB)
u64.5 Rushing Yards
62.99 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
N. Fifita
(QB)
u16.5 Rushing Yards
16.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-29.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
W. Parker
(RB)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
27.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.0
DIFFERENCE
26.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
N. Bennee
(TE)
o22.5 Receiving Yards
32.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.3
DIFFERENCE
25.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
B. Pegan
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
76.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.6
DIFFERENCE
25.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
C. Whittemore
(WR)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
32.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.6
DIFFERENCE
23.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
R. Johnson
(WR)
o33.5 Receiving Yards
39.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.6
DIFFERENCE
22.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ARIZ
G. Richardson
(WR)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
71.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
20.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ARIZ
I. Mizell
(WR)
u72.5 Receiving Yards
69.57 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.9
DIFFERENCE
17.24%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Utes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Utes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Utes last 6 games as an underdog.
Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Utes last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Utes last 5 games as a road underdog.