Iowa State vs Texas Picks and Predictions for November 27

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 23, 2020 , 02:18 PM ET

Iowa State's stop unit is quietly ranked in the Top 40 nationally in total defense, which could pose a problem for a Texas offense that has some overinflated numbers.

Iowa State Greg Eisworth II NCAA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Tom Herman Farewell Tour continues! If you follow college football betting, you know the Longhorns head coach likely needs to win out to save his job, and there’s still a small chance he could do it.

Texas somehow remains in the hunt for the Big 12 title, but every game from this point forward falls into the “must-win” category, and that will be a challenge this week against a very talented Iowa State Cyclones squad.

Let’s check out our best college football free picks and predictions for No. 15 Iowa State at No. 21 Texas, a day after Thanksgiving affair set for Friday, November 27 at 12:00 p.m. ET at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

Weather

It’s going to be warm and humid on Friday in Austin. Look for a high of 79 degrees with a 63 percent chance of showers and wind out of the south-southwest at 5 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

Iowa State: Tarique Milton WR (Out).
Texas: Jordan Whittington WR (Questionable), Keontay Ingram RB (Questionable), Jahdae Barron (Questionable), Juwan Mitchell LB (Questionable), Keondre Coburn DL (Questionable), Joshua Moore WR (Questionable), Kelvontay Dixon WR (Questionable), Cade Brewer TE (Questionable), Ryan Bujcevski P (Out), Isaiah Hookin OL (Out), Ayodele Adeoye (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Longhorns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Iowa State vs. Texas.

 
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Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Cyclones are riding a three-game winning streak and are coming off perhaps their most impressive victory of the season, absolutely dominating Kansas State 45-0. Everything was working for Iowa State last Saturday, with quarterback Brock Purdy going 16-20 for 236 yards and three touchdowns and running back Breece Hall racking up 135 yards on 15 carries, while also scoring twice.

The Longhorns are also in the middle of a three-game winning streak and have had an extra week to prepare after their game against Kansas was canceled due to COVID-19 concerns. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger paces an offense that averages 40.4 points per game, while the Texas defense has shown improvement under new coordinator Chris Ash. Future NFL star Joseph Ossai is a player to watch, as the disruptive linebacker leads Texas with 48 tackles.

Iowa State has quietly tightened on the defensive side, allowing only 17.7 points per game in their last three, and while the Horns are squeaking by in their victories, the Cyclones appear to be playing their best football.

PREDICTION: Iowa State +2 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

This game features two pre-season Heisman Trophy dark horse candidates in Purdy and Ehlinger, but neither quarterback has met those expectations despite having successful seasons.

The Under is 15-5-1 in Iowa State’s last 22 road games, and I expect that trend to continue here.

PREDICTION: Under 58.5 (-110)

Team Total Pick

Texas has a Top-20 offense, but many of those impressive numbers came early in the season in high-scoring games against UTEP and Texas Tech. The Cyclones are quietly ranked 38th in the country in total defense, and that should keep the Longhorns below their team total in Austin.

If not, then Tom Herman may just end up saving his job after all.

PREDICTION: Texas team total Under 28.5 (-115)

Iowa State vs Texas Betting Card

  • Iowa State +2 (-110)
  • Under 58.5 (-110)
  • Texas team total Under 28.5 (-115)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Iowa State vs. Texas picks, you could win $58.14 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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