And just like that, all the positive momentum we built up is gone. An 0-3 week was highlighted by Cincinnati running back Gerrid Doaks dropping down at the 1-yard line to cost us the cover vs UCF.
But it being Thanksgiving, I wanted to say thank you all so much for reading. Whether you are thankful you get to fade my picks, that you get to laugh at my misery, or just to follow along, I greatly appreciate it. That said, lets try and win some money this week, including a Black Friday bonus pick. (What could go wrong?)
The Triple Option returns with my best college football picks and predictions for Week 13.
NCAA Football Picks and Predictions for Week 13
Let’s start off this week with a Black Friday Bonus play. My less-than-stellar college football betting run probably is in some part due to the fact we have, not once, made one of our favorite bets from last college football season. Fade Nebraska!
Nebraska was one of the biggest proponents when it came to bringing back Big Ten football for 2020, but maybe the Cornhuskers should have just stayed home this year instead. The Huskers head into this matchup against Iowa with just one win in its first four games and is coming off an embarrassing loss to Illinois where they had five turnovers.
Nebraska’s quarterback situation is a mess. Luke McCaffrey replaced Adrian Martinez as the starter and promptly stunk up the joint. But whoever is under center will have their hands full with the Hawkeyes’ defense. Iowa ranks 17th in total yards allowed per game, including 39th against the pass, and are giving up just 16 points per contest.
The Iowa offense isn’t great, but it's on fire right now. The Hawkeyes are averaging 41.7 points per game over the last three contests led by running back Mekhi Sargent and Tyler Goodson, and have another good matchup against a struggling Nebraska defense that ranks 98th in total yards allowed and is giving up 223.3 rushing yards per game.
Iowa has more depth and talent than people realize, and if they can get steady quarterback play out of Spencer Petras, the Hawkeyes should be able to cover this spread. Fade Nebraska.
PREDICTION: Iowa -13.5 (-110)
Penn State and Michigan heading into this weekend’s matchup at the Big House with a combined two wins seems on par for 2020. Yes, the 0-5 Nittany Lions go for their first win when they take on the Wolverines. But let me tell you something. The winless team might be the better one in this scenario.
Let’s start with Michigan. Yes, they are 2-3, but those wins came against a defensively-inept Minnesota team, and Rutgers. And it took a switch at quarterback, a big comeback, and three overtimes to beat the Scarlet Knights. In a game where they were 11-point favorites. The Wolverines pass defense is awful and they are getting nothing out of the run game. On top of it all, this just feels like a farewell tour for Jim Harbaugh at this point.
For Penn State, admittedly things have not gone well since its season-opening OT loss to Indiana. The Nittany Lions have dropped five in a row, lost their top two running backs, and are turning the ball over too much.
But they have played a much tougher schedule, QB Sean Clifford has moved the ball fairly well this season, and outside of points allowed (due in large part to all the turnovers) the defense has been solid. Penn State ranks 36th in total yards allowed per game – 47th against the pass and 39th against the run.
If Penn State limits the turnovers, it is the better team and should win the game.
PREDICTION: Penn State Moneyline (+100)
Our mid-week MACtion came and went far too fast, but that doesn’t mean we’re staying away from one of our favorite college football conferences to bet on. Because let me tell you flat out, I think this line is dead wrong.
On the surface, this is a matchup of two undefeated MAC teams, a great offense versus a great defense, with the winner likely securing their spot in the conference title game. But that’s all bull honky. The Bulls are the far superior team here.
Kent State may be 3-0 with the country’s No. 1 ranked offense in terms of total yards and points scored, but (and this is a big but) its opponents are a combined 0-9 this year and are three of the worst teams in the country. They face a Buffalo defense that led the MAC in total defense and scoring defense last season and have picked up just where they left off.
And while the Golden Flashes have feasted on MAC bottom-feeders, the defense has still shown some holes. They are allowing 27.6 points per game and nearly 180 yards per game on the ground at a clip of 4.6 yards per carry. Now, they’ll have their hands full with not only one of the best backs in the conference, but in the entire country in Jaret Patterson.
The Bulls junior RB has already rumbled for 511 yards, on a whopping 7.2 yards per carry, and eight scores. This is the Flashes' first real test of the year, and I’m not sure they’ll be prepared for it. The Bulls should win this one by at least double digits.
PREDICTION: Buffalo -7.5 (-110)
There is nothing like chasing losses betting on Hawaii home games. But this one is ripe for the picking, I swear.
Nevada comes into this game undefeated and firing on all cylinders at this point of the season. QB Carson Strong has been impressive, completing 70.2 of his passes for 1,805 yards with 14 touchdowns compared to just two picks, leading an offense that is scoring 32.7 points per game. While RB Toa Taua has 307 yards and two scores on 5.9 yards per carry.
But the Wolf Pack defense has almost been almost as impressive, ranking 14th in the country in total yards allowed per game and giving up just 20.6 points per contest.
Meanwhile, this is not the Hawaii offense we are used to. The Rainbow Warriors rank 57th in passing offense and are scoring just 24.4 points per game. Unfortunately, Hawaii’s defense is still what we’re used to – not very good. They have been particularly bad against the run, allowing 226.6 yards, along with 31.4 points per game.
Nevada should overwhelm Hawaii on both sides of the ball and there’s no reason to believe that Nevada won’t win this game by at least two scores.
PREDICTION: Nevada -7 (-110)
Last week's NCAAF record: 0-3
Season to date: 14-19
Triple Option NCAA Football Betting Card for Week 13
- Iowa -13.5 (-110)
- Penn State ML (+100)
- Buffalo -7.5 (-110)
- Nevada -7 (-110)
Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NCAA Triple Option picks, you could win $129.16 on a $10 bet?
Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
Where Can I Bet on College Football?
You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.