Colorado vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds for September 12 — College Football Week 3

The Cougars will win and cover against the visiting Buffaloes. Colorado has looked vulnerable both against the run and pass, and Houston will take advantage early and often.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 11, 2025 • 14:41 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 27 hrs
ARIZ
62 %
KSU
38 %
Read Analysis
Dean Connors Houston Cougars College Football NCAA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston RB Dean Connors carries the ball.

There’s no denying that Deion Sanders, at the very least, keeps us entertained.

The Colorado Buffaloes used three quarterbacks in last week’s win over Delaware, and it was third-stringer Ryan Staub who endeared himself in his coach’s eyes, earning the start for Friday night’s game under the lights against the Houston Cougars.

However, the Cougars are not the Blue Hens, and my Colorado vs. Houston predictions and college football picks explain why Staub won’t be the answer in this prime-time Big 12 matchup on Saturday, September 12.

Colorado vs Houston prediction

Colorado vs Houston best bet: Houston -4.5 (-110)

Keeping Deion Sanders happy seems like a difficult job these days. 

Former starting QB Kaidon Salter wasn’t exactly playing poorly when Coach Prime benched him against Delaware. He was 13-for-16 for 102 yards with no touchdowns, no interceptions, but with 25 rushing yards and a score. And despite the loss to Georgia Tech the previous week, he kept the Colorado Buffaloes in that game.

But Salter can’t attack downfield the way Sanders prefers. So, enter third-stringer Ryan Staub. He aired it out in the second half against the Blue Hens, throwing for 157 yards and two touchdowns.

Once again, Sanders & Co. had the freedom to experiment against Delaware, which was playing its first FBS opponent as an FBS team. The Buffs won’t have that luxury vs. the Houston Cougars.

Houston is 2-0 following a 35-9 win over Rice last week.  Head coach Willie Fritz has built an imposing defense, starting with the defensive front that already has five sacks this season. The Cougs are also allowing just 3.0 yards per play.

On the other side of the ball, the Cougars offense looks balanced and should find success against a Colorado defense that got trampled in the run game by Georgia Tech and then let a former FCS QB throw for over 300 yards the following week.

Going on the road, on a short week, at night, with what is a suspect at best offensive line, against a strong defensive line. That’s a tough spot for anyone. Let alone a third-stringer thrust into the starter's role. Lay with the home team.

Colorado vs Houston same-game parlay

Balance is the key to this Cougars offense. Conner Weigman hasn’t looked like the best QB, but he’s done enough to make opponents respect Houston's pass game. He can also tuck it and run at times.

Dean Connors has been the most dynamic back in the Cougars' backfield, carrying the ball 28 times for 182 yards and two scores. Colorado allowed Georgia Tech to rush for 320 yards in its opener, so Over 52.5 yards looks really doable.

The Buffs followed that up by allowing Delaware QB Nick Minicucci to throw for 322 yards on 18 completions. 

It pretty much means the Cougars should be able to move the ball however they want in this matchup. Weigman has thrown four touchdown passes this season, and throwing a pair on Friday night is a great value add to this SGP.  

Colorado vs Houston SGP

  • Houston -4.5
  • Dean Connors Over 52.5 rushing yards
  • Conner Weigman Over 1.5 passing TDs (+410)

Our deep-ball SGP: Forget it, Deion, it's Cougar Town

  • Expect the Cougars to establish the run early.
  • Don't be shocked to see a heavy dose of Connors in Q1, and seeing him cross the goal line first is very much on the table.  

Colorado vs Houston SGP

  • Houston -4.5
  • Dean Connors Over 52.5 Rushing Yards
  • Conner Weigman Over 1.5 Passing TDs
  • Dean Connors First TD Scorer

Colorado vs Houston odds

  • Spread: Colorado +4.5 | Houston -4.5
  • Moneyline: Colorado +158 | Houston -192
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5

Colorado vs Houston trend to know

Houston has covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home for +1.80 Units and a 27% ROI. Find more college football betting trends for Colorado vs Houston.

How to watch Colorado vs Houston

Location TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX
Date Friday, September 12, 2025
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

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Colorado vs Houston weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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