Saturday's historic first top-10 Holy War has my BYU vs. Utah props targeting three Overs built on defensive matchups and shifting offensive responsibilities.
Utah is favored by 4.5 points with a 48.5-point total, and kickoff at Rice-Eccles Stadium is set for 12 p.m. ET. Check out more of my college football picks for Week 10.
Best BYU vs Utah props
Prop pick #1: Wayshawn Parker Over 20.5 receiving yards
Give me the Over for Utah running back Wayshawn Parker's receiving prop up to 22.5 yards or 55% at the current number.
According to Pro Football Focus, Parker is the highest-graded running back in the country overall and ranks ninth among 438 qualifiers in receiving grade. He's second on the Utes in catches (26) and has 23+ receiving yards in five of eight games this season.
Per SharpSlate.com, BYU's defense has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards nationally to opposing running backs over the last 10 games. Parker already has the usage and receiving efficiency, and BYU gives him a favorable matchup to clear this modest number.
Prop pick #2: Legend Glasker Over 61.5 receiving yards
The Over for Cougars wide receiver Legend Glasker's 61.5 receiving-yards prop is tradable up to 55%.
Glasker is the 30th-highest-graded wide receiver out of 1,046 qualifiers, per PFF. He runs most of his routes out of the slot, and Utah nickelback Jackson Bennee is the team's lowest-graded starting defensive back and its only one with a failing grade.
Plus, Glasker has gained at least 65 receiving yards in six of his eight games this season. This includes 66 receiving yards against Notre Dame, which might have the best defense in the country. Utah is no slouch either, but if Glasker can get his on Notre Dame, he can against Utah, too.
Prop pick #3: Bear Bachmeier Over 32.5 rushing yards
I'd play BYU QB Bear Bachmeier's Over 32.5 rushing prop up to 34.5 yards. Bachmeier has rushed for 37+ yards in five of his eight games this season, and he rushed for 64 yards against Utah last year.
The Utes are 4.5-point favorites, meaning the market expects Utah to win, so Bachmeier might have to use his legs to extend plays if BYU is trailing. Meanwhile, Bachmeier will have a bigger role in BYU's ground game because first-string running back L.J. Martin is doubtful to play Saturday.
Now, in college football, yardage lost on sacks counts against a quarterback's rushing total, but the Cougars have the sixth-best sack rate allowed on offense nationally, and Utah's defense ranks only 80th in sack rate.
- Prop picks: 11-17-1, -8.80 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
