The No. 20-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks host the Texas Longhorns in college basketball action on Wednesday night.
These are two of the most explosive offenses in the country, which is why my Texas vs. Arkansas predictions are betting the Over on a lofty total.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this SEC shootout on March 4.
Texas vs Arkansas prediction
Texas vs Arkansas best bet: Over 164.5 (-110)
This is a huge total at 164.5, but KenPom is projecting 170 points with Bart Torvik at 171. The Arkansas Razorbacks are sixth in the country in adjusted offense while the Texas Longhorns rank seventh.
The Razorbacks are second-last in SEC play in opponent 2PT% (56.8%), and Texas excels at scoring inside with Dailyn Swain (17.7 ppg, 55.4 FG%) and Matas Vokietaitis (15.6 ppg, 64.3 FG%).
That said, the Longhorns rank 14th in conference play in opponent 3PT% (36.4%) and will get torched from the perimeter by an up-tempo Arkansas attack led by Darius Acuff (22.0 ppg, 6.2 apg).
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Texas vs Arkansas same-game parlay
The Razorbacks are 15-1 at home, and while their defense is shaky, it's still rated 58 spots higher than Texas at KenPom. That has me backing them on the moneyline
Arkansas wing Billy Richmond has scored 20+ points in five straight games. The former five-star recruit thrives on the fast break, and the Longhorns rank outside the top 200 in transition defense per ShotQualityBets.
Texas vs Arkansas SGP
- Over 165
- Arkansas moneyline
- Billy Richmond Over 15.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Offensive explosion
Since we're betting on a fast-paced game with plenty of scoring, let's back the stars on both teams to fill up the stat sheet. Since the start of December, Acuff has dropped at least six dimes in 15 of 22 games.
Swain is the most efficient isolation scorer in the country and has eclipsed 20.5 points in eight of his last 11 contests. Meanwhile, Vokietaitis has logged at least one assist in nine of his last 11.
Texas vs Arkansas SGP
- Over 165
- Billy Richmond Over 15.5 points
- Darius Acuff Jr. Over 5.5 assists
- Dailyn Swain Over 20.5 points
- Matas Vokietaitis Over 0.5 assists
Texas vs Arkansas odds
- Spread: Texas +7 | Arkansas -7
- Moneyline: Texas +250 | Arkansas -310
- Over/Under: Over 165 | Under 165
Texas vs Arkansas betting trend to know
The Over has cashed in 10 of the Longhorns' last 12 games on the road while also hitting in 10 of the Razorbacks' previous 12 contests at home. Find more college basketball betting trends for Texas vs. Arkansas.
How to watch Texas vs Arkansas
| Location | Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR |
| Date | Wednesday, March 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
Texas vs Arkansas key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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