Providence vs Marquette Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Since Providence should win this game outright, grabbing the Friars as underdogs just sweetens the pot against Marquette.

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst
Jan 19, 2026 • 13:25 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 3 hrs
MARQ
39 %
PROV
61 %
Read Analysis
Stefan Vaaks Providence Friars NCAA College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Providence G Stefan Vaaks (7) dribbles downcourt.

The Providence Friars have opened Big East play with a 2-5 record and dropped three of the last four, while the Marquette Golden Eagles have lost three straight and nine of 10.

The Golden Eagles are favored at home, but they’ve lost their last two games ATS as favorites and covered just once in their last five home games.

My Providence at Marquette predictions and college basketball picks call for the Friars to cover on the road on Monday, January 19.

Providence vs Marquette prediction

Providence vs Marquette best bet: Providence +2 (-120)

As the Providence Friars should beat the Marquette Golden Eagles outright, getting two points is a gift.

Providence is 9-9 but hasn’t lost to a team ranked as low as Marquette (currently 131, per BarTorvik). The Friars have losses to No. 95 Colorado and No. 93 Xavier, but are 7-0 against teams ranked as low as Marquette. Providence is 2-0 against Quad III teams (like Marquette) and 7-0 against Quad III and lower.

The Golden Eagles, meanwhile, have lost to No. 116 Maryland, No. 104 Georgetown, and No. 115 DePaul, all ranked significantly lower than No. 76 Providence.

The Georgetown and Maryland losses were both at home, as well. Marquette is 1-13 against Quad III or better opponents, including 1-2 against Quad III teams (like Providence).

Providence has been without leading scorer Jason Edwards for the last two games. He’s listed on the injury report again, but the Friars posted an impressive win over Creighton without him.

Marquette’s Sean Jones has missed five games with a foot injury, while leading rebounder Ben Gold will be playing in his second straight game since returning to the lineup.

Providence has an efficient inside game at both ends of the floor and should win in a fast-paced game.

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Providence vs Marquette same-game parlay

Providence plays at the 13th-fastest pace in the nation. Marquette also plays fast, at No. 68.

The Friars have gone Over in four straight and seven of nine, while Marquette has been Over in its last three. Now, set all of that aside, because this cutoff for the points total is through the roof. It’s 10 points higher than anything Marquette has seen in the last nine games, and Providence hasn’t faced anything this high in its last 10. Despite that, we’re still leaning Over. It’s just not a no-brainer.

Nigel James has shared the ball more in the last five games, averaging 5.4 assists, up more than an assist per game from his season average. But the last game, when he had eight dimes, was the only time he’s topped 6.5 assists in a college game. That total cutoff is far too high.

Providence vs Marquette SGP

  • Providence +2
  • Over 168
  • Nigel James Under 6.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: No Anti-Vaaksers Here

With Edwards likely out, Stefan Vaaks is a leading candidate to take on the scoring responsibilities. He’s scored at least 20 in his last three games, and he’s done it while only hitting 8 of 28 from three. He can score inside and out and get to the line.

Providence vs Marquette SGP

  • Providence +2
  • Over 168
  • Nigel James Under 6.5 assists
  • Stefan Vaaks Over 14.5 points

Providence vs Marquette odds

  • Spread: Providence +1.5 (-105) | Marquette -1.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Providence +105 | Marquette -125
  • Over/Under: Over 167.5 (-115) | Under 167.5 (-105)

Providence vs Marquette betting trend to know

Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Providence vs. Marquette.

How to watch Providence vs Marquette

Location Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date Monday, January 19, 2026
Tip-off 6:00 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Providence vs Marquette key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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