We may have a relatively mild Saturday college basketball slate, but some excellent matchups are still sprinkled throughout the day.
Here are my college basketball moneyline picks, including why Penn should bounce back after its loss to Navy, along with a mix of chalk favorites and massive underdogs.
Visit our college basketball picks page for more matchup analysis.
College basketball moneyline picks: Nov. 14
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 LSU Gonzaga |
Gonzaga 72% |
 Stonehill Texas Tech |
Texas Tech 99% |
 Cincinnati Dayton |
Cincinnati 75% |
 Colorado Providence |
Providence 80% |
 George Mason Bradley |
George Mason 85% |
 Penn St. Joe's |
Penn 43% |
 Rider Villanova |
Villanova 99% |
 Hampton Navy |
Hampton 49% |
![Notre Dame](https://img.covers.com/covers/data/svg_logos/ncaab/uni.svg"){kind=small} Northern Iowa Oakland |
Oakland 43% |
 South Alabama North Texas |
North Texas 84% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert college basketball moneyline picks: Nov. 14
LSU vs Gonzaga: Gonzaga
Gonzaga should be ready for this matchup against the LSU Tigers, as they've had a full week to prepare. LSU has yet to play a team ranked higher than 241st, per Bart Torvik, while Gonzaga sits at No. 10.
Mark Few is typically excellent at preparing his guys for early-season marquee matchups, and with LSU yet to face much competition, I like the home team here.
Stonehill vs Texas Tech: Texas Tech
With such a massive spread, and the Red Raiders coming off a win over the Fighting Illini, taking Stonehill's team total under would be my favorite look here. Avoid the spread and back Texas Tech to deliver a slow-tempo, hard-nosed defensive performance.
Cincinnati vs Dayton: Cincinnati
Dayton is coming off back-to-back losses to teams outside the top 190 and now faces its first opponent ranked inside the top 50. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is coming off a loss to Minnesota on Monday and has only faced teams ranked inside the top 190.
Haslametrics grades Dayton's strength of schedule as the 10th-easiest out of the gate, while Cincinnati has endured the 166th-toughest.
Bearcats should bounce back.
Colorado vs Providence: Providence
Colorado is looking to walk into The Dunk on a Saturday night and come out alive? Yikes. Good luck!
However, the Friars will need to clean up their fouling, currently ranking 301st in free-throw defense. If they can keep their hands to themselves, they should be fine.
George Mason vs Bradley: George Mason
George Mason is coming off a brutal performance against Kansas City, winning by 12 but allowing the Roos to shoot nearly 50% from deep. The Patriots should still win this one against Bradley, but the Braves should keep it close.
This matchup should be a slow-paced game, and Bradley has already been battle-tested early, playing two teams ranked inside the top 125. Meanwhile, George Mason has yet to face a team ranked below 267th, per Bart Torvik.
Penn vs St. Joe's: Penn
The Quakers are coming off a brutal loss to a very bad Navy team, but they should be fully regrouped and ready to take on Saint Joe's. The Hawks may be 3-0 and have a strong defense, but their offense has been atrocious, and all three games have been close. They even needed overtime to beat 337th-ranked Lafayette.
Rider vs Villanova: Villanova
The Wildcats should roll against a bottom-five team, per Bart Torvik. However, with a matchup on deck Tuesday, I'd lean toward attacking Rider's team total under instead.
Hampton vs Navy: Hampton
Navy is coming off a win over Penn as a 7.5-point underdog, and I'm fully expecting some regression in this spot. Hampton has already opened its season against two top-115 teams, losing to Georgia Tech and George Washington. Now, the Pirates draw their first inferior opponent.
Northern Iowa vs Oakland: Oakland
Northern Iowa plays Michigan State on the road on Friday before packing up and heading to Oakland on Saturday.
The Golden Grizzlies have faced a brutal early schedule, with games against Michigan, Stanford, UC Santa Barbara, Alabama, and Boise State.
It's Oakland or nothing with Northern Iowa playing on Friday.
South Alabama vs North Texas: North Texas
This marks the first time North Texas has faced an opponent ranked outside the top 100 since its season opener against a non-Division I school on Nov. 2. With the Mean Green coming off a loss to Santa Clara and South Alabama riding high after a win over LMU, this matchup has North Texas bounce-back written all over it.
The Mean Green defense should suffocate the Jaguars.
Today's college basketball moneyline combo
Gonzaga
Penn
Cincinnati
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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