Marquette vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 11, 2026 , 01:24 PM ET • 4 min read

Michigan looks to flash its national championship form after arly struggles. It may not happen in a bad matchup with Marquette

ncaab

Match starts: 22 mins
Marquette vs Michigan prediction. Nigel James Jr. J.P. Estrella
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Custom image of Nigel James Jr. and J.P. Estrella

After a loss to UConn, defending national champion Michigan will look to get back on track as a 3.5-point favorite against 2-0 Marquette, another power conference foe. 

My Marquette vs. Michigan prediction and college basketball picks expect the Wolverines' struggles to continue in a bad matchup on Wednesday, Nov. 11.

 TOP PICK
Who will win Marquette vs Michigan: Marquette +3.5

I'd stick with Marquette even if the spread shrinks to +1.5.

The Michigan Wolverines' guard play was expected to be a strength, as they returned Final Four MOP Elliot Cadeau, Trey McKenney and Roddy Gayle Jr. from last season’s national champs.

Only McKenney has found his range, however. Gayle hasn’t hit a three in his first two games, while Cadeau is 1-for-9 from outside. Michigan also had 11 first-half turnovers as they fell behind UConn. Michigan was also below 30% from three in its preseason exhibition games.

Struggling to shoot against No. 4 UConn is understandable, but Michigan also shot just 7-of-34 from three against Oakland.

The Marquette Golden Eagles have experienced guards, led by Nigel James and Adrien Stevens.

In two season-opening blowouts, the Golden Eagles showcased the nation's best perimeter defense, holding overmatched foes to 16.4% from three. They’re also forcing turnovers on 28.1% of possessions, seventh-best in college hoops. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Marquette throttled Detroit Mercy, allowing just 32 points in its best defensive outing since 2004. And Marquette isn’t doing it by slowing the pace. Its tempo is middle-of-the-road through two games.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Marquette vs Michigan Over/Under pick: Under 156.5

It’s easy to write off Marquette’s defensive prowess as a product of Quad IV opponents Detroit Mercy and Mercyhurst being overwhelmed. However, the Golden Eagles also knocked off Michigan State, which just beat No. 1 Duke last night.

Marquette's guards forced star Spartans guard Jeremy Fears into six turnovers and held MSU to 25% shooting in the first half.

Neither Michigan nor Marquette has been scoring well in transition so far, and both defenses have shown they can keep opponents from running. Michigan ranks No. 197 in opponent transition frequency, while Marquette is 175th. 

The Golden Eagles have gone Under in both games, and Michigan has done so in one of two.

Marquette vs Michigan combo

Michigan's most efficient offense has been to feed big man J.P. Estrella and allow Gayle to move inside and score in the paint.

Marquette’s top five scorers this season are all forwards. While the guards have the name recognition, both teams will be looking to get the ball inside and run a more traditional inside-out offense. Marquette is deeper inside.

Look for a slow, deliberate game and for the Golden Eagles to threaten an outright upset as they cover the spread.

Marquette vs Michigan combo

  • Marquette +3.5 
  • Under 156.5

Marquette vs Michigan odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Marquette +3.5 (51%) | Michigan -3.5 (51%)
  • Over/Under: Over 156.5 (52%) | Under 156.5 (49%)
  • Moneyline: Marquette 39%| Michigan 62%

Check out our college basketball odds board ahead of tonight's Marquette vs. Michigan matchup!

Marquette vs Michigan trend

Marquette has covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games and hit the game total Under in 10 of the last 13 (both +6.70 Units / 47% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends.

How to watch Marquette vs Michigan

Location Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, Mich.
Date Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026
Tip off 7 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Marquette vs Michigan latest injuries

Check out our college basketball injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo