College Basketball Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon Predictions and Moneyline Picks

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 , 12:01 PM ET • 4 min read

Our college hoops expert sizes up the Opening Day marathon. See why he's leaning on teams with veteran experience like Murray State.

Murray State head coach Ryan Miller College Basketball Predictions and Moneyline Picks
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Murray State head coach Ryan Miller.

Monday's Opening Day marathon schedule stretches from High Point vs. Liberty at 12:01 a.m. ET to Furman vs. Bethune-Cookman at 8 p.m. ET.

Follow our college basketball moneyline picks for Nov. 2, and visit our college basketball picks for more matchup analysis.

College basketball Field of 68 Opening Day picks

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Pick
High Point High Point
Liberty Liberty
High Point
75%
Grambling Grambling
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois
70%
Appalachian State Appalachian State
Merrimack Merrimack
Appalachian State
40%
Winthrop Winthrop
Queens Queens
Queens
52%
Murray State Murray State
Tennessee State Tennessee State
Murray State
79%
UTEP UTEP
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky
UTEP
56%
UAB UAB
McNeese State McNeese State
McNeese State
63%
Furman Furman
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman
Furman
75%

Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Expert college basketball moneyline picks: Nov. 2

High Point vs. Liberty: High Point

High Point, and I also like them on the points. They only return one starter from last season, but bring back plenty of quality reserves. This program is on the up-and-up, and I wouldn't want to get in its way.

Liberty lost its veteran core and returns a bunch of young reserves. Leaning on a young team early in the season doesn't interest me.

Grambling vs. Northern Illinois: Northern Illinois

Grambling is coming off a bottom-100 offensive season a year ago. The Tigers bring in Josue Grullon from UT Martin to help spread the floor, but he sat out all of last season, so it could take some time for him to get going.

On the other side, Northern Illinois is putting out a brand-new team with a brand-new coach coming from the Division II level. Former Northern Michigan head coach Matt Majkrzak brings a slow, methodical style while bringing in a few players from Northern Michigan to help kickstart this new era of Huskie basketball.

Despite this being a new team, there's enough familiarity for me to trust the Huskies.

Appalachian State vs. Merrimack: Appalachian State

I'm leaning with the dog here, simply because there's more familiarity with the Mountaineers than the Warriors. Early in the season, I find that to be a massive edge in this new era of college sports.

Merrimack returns just two players from a year ago but brings in plenty of talent. On the other hand, App State retains four players from last season. Give me the dog here!

Winthrop vs. Queens: Queens

Queens added former D-II standout Corbin Pack from Wingate, a 6-foot-5 sharpshooting guard who can light it up from deep. Last season, he shot 40% from beyond the arc. If he can translate that production to the D-I level, Queens will be in very good hands this season.

Winthrop did not return a single starter and is trying to replace its stud big man with a player who produced half as much a year ago. I lean toward Queens in this spot, hoping Pack lights it up early.

Murray State vs. Tennessee State: Murray State

Murray State all the way here. The Racers have the most spending money in the Valley and brought in a bunch of new talent while returning three reserves from a year ago. Meanwhile, Tennessee State is putting out a completely new product.

Racers or nothing!

UTEP vs. Northern Kentucky: UTEP

The Norse do return their assist leader from a year ago, but the Miners have added plenty of proven scorers through the portal to replace their leading scorers from last season. Keep in mind, this UTEP team averaged fewer than 70 points per game a year ago, so bringing in a new group of scorers could be a big plus.

UAB vs. McNeese State: McNeese State

UAB brings in 15 new players, including three freshmen, to its roster this season. McNeese State, on the other hand, returns its most crucial piece, guard and leading scorer from a year ago, Larry Johnson. The sophomore averaged 17.4 PPG and 5.5 RPG while shooting nearly 50% from the floor.

The Cowboys also return senior Carl Cherenfant, who averaged just 16 minutes per game last season but should add a veteran presence to this team.

Furman vs. Bethune-Cookman: Furman

Furman may have lost all of its starters from a year ago, but the Paladins return six reserves from last season. Head coach Bob Richey has high hopes that those six players will take the next step, especially sophomore Cole Bowser, who averaged 5.2 PPG and 5.3 RPG while playing 22 minutes per game last season.

Today's Field of 68 Opening Day moneyline combo

Polymarket

High Point

Northern Illinois

Murray State

All three teams should have big years. Even with the season kicking off at some unusual times, they should still be able to come out on top.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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