An injury-riddled Golden State Warriors squad limps into United Center to tip off against the Atlanta Hawks.
Jalen Johnson is having a monster season for Atlanta and I’ll explain why he’ll continue his tear tonight in my Warriors vs. Hawks predictions & NBA picks for Saturday, March 21.
Warriors vs Hawks prediction
Warriors vs Hawks best bet: Jalen Johnson Over 18.5 rebounds and assists (+100)
Nothing is going right with the Golden State Warriors this season, and with Steph Curry still sidelined, it’s looking like a write-off.
The exact opposite can be said of Jalen Johnson, who’s averaging season highs in points (22.9), rebounds (10.5), and assists (8.1) for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks forward has recorded Over 18.5 assists and rebounds in three of his last four contests, with triple-doubles in two of those games.
Golden State ranks near the bottom of the league in rebounding (22nd) while Atlanta is averaging 91.9 field goal attempts per game (2nd), leaving plenty of boards for Johnson.
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Warriors vs Hawks same-game parlay
The Warriors are bad and injured, losing nine of their last 11 games. Morale will be low, and points will be easy to come by for the Hawks stars.
Johnson has struggled offensively in his last two games but is due for a bounce back. He’s scored Over 22.5 points in four of his last seven.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been hot for the Hawks with Over 18.5 points in four straight and seven of eight.
Warriors vs Hawks SGP
- Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 18.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Dyson gets in on the fun
Dyson Daniels can surpass 10.5 points tonight as the Warriors’ defense has struggled to contain athletic wings in transition. His ability to attack off the dribble and capitalize on fast-break opportunities sets him up for a productive scoring night.
The Hawks are big favorites for a reason, but they’ll need all hands on deck in order to run up the score against the Warriors.
Atlanta has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games, while Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven.
Warriors vs Hawks SGP
- Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 18.5 points
- Dyson Daniels Over 10.5 points
- Hawks -10
Warriors vs Hawks odds
- Spread: Golden State +10.5 (-110) | Atlanta -10.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Golden State +350 | Atlanta -450
- Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Hawks betting trend to know
Atlanta is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings at home. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Hawks. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Hawks.
How to watch Warriors vs Hawks
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Saturday, March 21, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSBA, FDSN SE-ATL |
Warriors vs Hawks latest injuries
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