Rockets vs Knicks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Houston has a problem.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 15:58 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 3 hrs
HOU
42 %
NY
58 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New York -3.5 (-105) New York -3.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Karl Anthony-Towns of the New York Knicks.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Karl Anthony-Towns of the New York Knicks.

The standings may not show it, but the Houston Rockets are stumbling these days.

Although the New York Knicks may look like peers, they are actually far more trustworthy.

These Rockets vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks trust the home team on Saturday, February 21.

Rockets vs Knicks prediction

Rockets vs Knicks best bet: Knicks -3.5 (-105)

It is not just that the Houston Rockets have gone 3-10 against the spread in the last month. It is also that they have fallen short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 9.1 points in those 10 ATS losses.

That is not terribly surprising once realizing Houston’s offensive rating in the last month has been No. 22 in the NBA, down from No. 4 before Jan. 21. When your offense slips by 8.3 points per 100 possessions, woes are going to follow.

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Rockets vs Knicks same-game parlay

Kevin Durant may have poured in 35 points in his first game following the All-Star Break, but he fell short of this points prop in five of eight before the Break, part of why the Rockets have cashed 10 Unders in 13 games in the last month.

Rockets vs Knicks SGP

  • Knicks -3.5
  • Kevin Durant Under 24.5 points
  • Under 219

Our "from downtown" SGP: KAT Boards

While New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled to shoot lately, he has continued to pile up rebounds, grabbing double-digit boards in 10 straight games and hitting this prop in nine of them.

Rockets vs Knicks SGP

  • Knicks -3.5
  • Knicks 1H -1.5
  • Kevin Durant Under 24.5 points
  • Under 219
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds

Rockets vs Knicks odds

  • Spread: Rockets +3.5 (-110) | Knicks -3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Rockets +135 | Knicks -160
  • Over/Under: Over 219 (-110) | Under 219 (-110)

Rockets vs Knicks betting trend to know

Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Knicks.

How to watch Rockets vs Knicks

Location Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Rockets vs Knicks latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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