The Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins are trading at a pick’em ahead of their 7 p.m. ET puck drop at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, Nov. 5.
My favorite Bruins vs. Penguins prediction and NHL picks expect a low-scoring game between the Eastern Conference clubs tonight.
TOP PICK
Bruins vs Penguins prediction: Under 6.5
This game has Under 6.5 written all over it, and I recommend it up to 53%.
The Pittsburgh Penguins have only allowed 10 goals across their past five home games, while starter Arturs Silovs has posted a high-end .926 save percentage with 3.69 goals saved above expected.
Boston Bruins No. 1 Jeremy Swayman is off to another excellent start with a .913 SV% and 8.39 GSAx through 12 games.
Both teams have also trended to the Under.
Boston has hit the Under in 16 of its past 25 games, and the total has gone Under the number in eight of the past 10 games at PPG Paints Arena.
COVERS INTEL: The Bruins have dropped to an 8.3% team shooting percentage at five-on-five across their past three games after posting an unsustainably high 12.2% mark to start the season.
Bruins vs Penguins combo
Bruins wingers David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie both skate on the No. 1 power-play unit and are primary shooters.
Pastrnak has a single goal across his past four games despite generating 1.54 individual expected goals on 13 scoring chances, while Geekie has recorded two shots or more in all four of those contests with a high-end 9.16 shots and 21.07 attempts per 60 minutes.
Bruins vs Penguins combo
- Under 6.5
- David Pastrnak 1+ goals
- Morgan Geekie 2+ shots
Bruins vs Penguins player prop: James Hagens 2+ shots
This shot prop is in play up to 60%.
Boston winger James Hagens has recorded two or more shots in seven of his past nine games while leading Bruins forwards in Corsi For percentage and shot share at 5-on-5.
The Penguins have also allowed the seventh-most shots per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 during their active 3-8-2 slide.
Bruins vs Penguins goal scorer: David Pastrnak
Pastrnak to find the back of the net is in play up to 44%.
The go-to scorer sports a 6.7% SH% across the noted four-game stretch, which is way below his overall 12.5% mark since the beginning of the 2023-24 campaign.
As noted, he’s remained dangerous and has averaged 22:36 of ice time with 5:03 on the power play across the four contests, too.
- Top picks: 36-22, +25.96 units
- Combos: 4-19, -2.39 units
Bruins vs Penguins odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Moneyline: Bruins 51% | Penguins 51%
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (52%) | Under 6.5 (49%)
- Spread: Bruins -1.5 (30%) | Penguins +1.5 (72%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Bruins vs Penguins trend
The Bruins have hit the game total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Bruins vs Penguins
| Location | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Date | Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, SN-PIT |
Bruins vs Penguins latest injuries
Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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