NBA Against the Spread Picks: Thursday, Nov. 5

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

The Dubs will stay hot against the Heat, while Orlando offers value against the struggling Suns.

NBA ATS Picks for Today
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Stephen Curry and Desmond Bane NBA

It's a quiet two-game slate across the Association tonight, but I've still found value in my NBA against the spread picks. 

Find it below in my NBA picks for Thursday, Nov. 5. 

NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 5

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Pick
Magic Magic
Suns Suns
Magic +1.5
52%
Heat Heat
Warriors Warriors
Warriors -7.5
49%

Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 5

Magic vs Suns: Magic Magic +1.5

The Orlando Magic may be without two of their best players, but the Phoenix Suns are a defensive liability, ranking 30th in defensive rating.

They've lost four in a row, and just gave up 132 points to the Blazers. With the Suns also on a back-to-back and the Magic on two days' rest, I'll take the visitors with the points. 

Heat vs Warriors: Warriors  Warriors -7.5

The Golden State Warriors have found their stride, winning five straight. Three of those victories have been by double digits, and they face a Miami Heat team tonight that played in overtime on Wednesday before traveling to the Bay Area.

The Dubs are 3-1 at home, and haven't played since Monday. I'll gladly take the hosts, who are well-rested and flourishing. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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