The Cleveland Cavaliers are one game closer to punching their ticket to the next round and our NBA player prop projections are ready for Game 6 against the Toronto Raptors, with the model highlighting several high-value spots.
By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.
These Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Friday, May 1.
Raptors vs Cavaliers computer picks for Game 6
 Raptors |
 Cavaliers |
|---|---|
| Barnes o22.5 points -105 |
Harden o20.5 points -118 |
| Barrett o5.5 rebounds -140 |
Mobley u9.5 rebounds -150 |
| Barnes o7.5 assists -150 |
Mitchell o4.5 assists +105 |
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Raptors Game 6 computer picks
Scottie Barnes Over 22.5 points (-105)
Projection: 22.85 points
Scottie Barnes is averaging 24.0 points over his last five games — 6.1 above his season mark — and has been a spark for the Toronto Raptors. They’ll need that same level of production to avoid elimination at home in Game 6.
RJ Barrett Over 5.5 rebounds (-140)
Projection: 6.67 rebounds
The Raptors rank 9th in offensive rebounding at home over their last five games, and RJ Barrett has taken advantage — clearing this rebounds line in three of five games this series against the Cleveland Cavaliers, including a dominant 12-board effort in Game 5.
With a Game 7 on the line, expect Barrett to attack the glass with urgency as Toronto looks to keep its season alive.
Scottie Barnes Over 7.5 assists (-150)
Projection: 7.57 assists
Barnes has gone over this assists line in Games 3 and 5, and if the Raptors want to keep their season alive, a well-rounded effort starts with his playmaking.
Barnes has consistently risen to the occasion in this series, and expect him to lean into his facilitating role — getting teammates involved and dropping dimes whenever the opportunity presents itself.
Cavaliers Game 6 computer picks
James Harden Over 20.5 points (-118)
Projection: 21.52 points
When James Harden is in rhythm, the Cavaliers thrive. That’s been evident in Games 1, 2, and 5, where his 20+ point outings powered Cleveland to wins.
If Harden can handle the pressure of closing things out on the road in a hostile Toronto Raptors environment, expect him to top this scoring line once again.
Evan Mobley Under 9.5 rebounds (-150)
Projection: 8.71 rebounds
The Raptors have played at the 9th-slowest pace at home this season, which should limit overall possessions for the Cavaliers.
Evan Mobley has hovered just below this rebounds line, and in a pivotal Game 6, Toronto’s tempo and physicality could keep him in check on the glass once again.
Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 assists (+105)
Projection: 4.81 assists
Donovan Mitchell’s playmaking could be the X-factor in Game 6 for the Cavaliers. He’s come close to this assists line in most of the series — clearing it in Game 2 — and a greater emphasis on getting his teammates involved should boost Cleveland’s overall production.
If Mitchell leans into facilitating, it could be the key to the Cavs closing things out on the road.
How to watch Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 6
| Location | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH |
| Date | Friday, May 1, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Not intended for use in MA.
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