Wednesday's NBA player props card features plays from our experts across tonight's slate.
Below, you'll find each prop, the reasoning behind it, and where to watch. For more plays tied to tonight's games, head to our full list of NBA picks.
NBA player props at a glance (Wednesday, Nov. 11)
| Matchup & time | Player prop & analyst |
|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks 7 p.m. |
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 34.5 PRA Ed Scimia |
| Celtics vs. Raptors 7 p.m. |
Jakob Poeltl Over 11.5 points Chris Walder |
| Wizards vs. Pacers 7 p.m. |
Aaron Nesmith Over 14.5 points Quinn Allen |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies 8 p.m. |
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists Phil Naessens |
| Spurs vs. Bulls 8 p.m. |
Dylan Harper Over 19.5 points Zak Hanshew |
| Lakers vs. Bucks 8 p.m. |
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points Geoff Clark |
| Nets vs. Pelicans 8 p.m. |
Julius Randle Over 5.5 assists Todd Cordell |
| Warriors vs. Rockets 9:30 p.m. |
Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 points Juan Carlos Blanco |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers 10 p.m. |
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 rebounds Tom Oldfield |
Picks courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Cavaliers vs Knicks prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 34.5 PRA
- Time: 7 p.m.
- TV: NBATV, DIRECTV
- Analyst: Ed Scimia
Player prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 34.5 PRA
Karl-Anthony Towns is off to an outstanding start for the New York Knicks, averaging 20.9 points per game while leading the NBA with 13.8 rebounds per contest. That's powered him to an average of 37.8 PRA per game on the season.
Towns has been extremely consistent in his rebounding, snagging 10+ boards in all 10 games he's played this season. Add in the fact that he put up 29 points against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday, and he's registering numbers that should get him well over this total.
Ed Scimia likes Towns to get 35+ PRA at up to 66% tonight in his Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction.
Celtics vs Raptors prop: Jakob Poeltl Over 11.5 points
- Time: 7 p.m.
- TV: NBC Sports Boston, Sportsnet
- Analyst: Chris Walder
Player prop: Jakob Poeltl Over 11.5 points
Jakob Poeltl has found his scoring touch lately, making 22 of his last 31 attempts (71%) and putting up 18+ points in each of his last two games.
His shot volume has also been increasing considerably, going from 1.8 attempts per game over his first four outings to 10.3 across the big man's last four. That increased workload gives Poeltl a strong opportunity to clear this modest points line.
Chris Walder will back Poeltl to keep producing offensively against the Boston Celtics in his Celtics vs. Raptors prediction.
Wizards vs Pacers prop: Aaron Nesmith Over 14.5 points
- Time: 7 p.m.
- TV: DAZN-IND, Monumental+
- Analyst: Quinn Allen
Player prop: Aaron Nesmith Over 14.5 points
Aaron Nesmith is coming off an impressive 18-point performance against Dallas, when he drained four triples on 10 attempts. The 27-year-old has now attempted at least 11 field goals in three straight games, including 16 against Memphis.
With Haliburton sidelined, Nesmith has opportunities to take on a larger offensive role. He's also played at least 27 minutes in four consecutive outings, giving him plenty of chances to produce. Nesmith has hit his points Over in two of his last three games.
The Washington Wizards struggle defensively, making this an ideal matchup. They've also allowed nearly 60 points in the paint per game across their last three contests.
Quinn Allen is taking Nesmith to score 15-plus points at up to 53% in his Wizards vs. Pacers prediction.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies prop: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists
- Time: 8 p.m.
- TV: Altitude Sports, WATN
- Analyst: Phil Naessens
Player prop: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists
Nikola Jokic averages 9.1 assists per game and has reached double figures five times in nine outings this season. He's also cleared 9.5 assists in three of his last four meetings with the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have to respect Jamal Murray, who's averaging 25.8 points and has been red-hot from deep. When Memphis sends extra help toward Jokic, Murray and Denver's other shooters can make the Grizzlies pay.
Phil Naessens is tabbing Jokic to reach double-digit assists up to 50% tonight in his Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction.
Spurs vs Bulls prop: Dylan Harper Over 19.5 points
- Time: 8 p.m.
- TV: DAZN, SAS
- Analyst: Zak Hanshew
Player prop: Dylan Harper Over 19.5 points
Dylan Harper has scored 20-plus points in only four of 11 games this season, but he gets a strong matchup tonight, and this line can be traded at 19.5 points up to 40%.
Harper isn't a 3-point specialist. He does most of his damage in the paint and in transition, two areas Chicago struggles to defend. Harper ranks ninth in the league in fast-break points per game at 4.1, and fourth among guards with 10.9 PITP.
The Bulls rank 29th in opponents' fast-break points and 28th in PITP, setting Harper up with a great opportunity to crack 20-plus points again as part of Zak Hanshew's Spurs vs. Bulls prediction.
Lakers vs Bucks prop: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points
- Time: 8 p.m.
- TV: Spectrum SportsNet, WCGV
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Player prop: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has cleared 15 points in seven of 11 games this season, including 16 on Tuesday against the Knicks, who rank third in defensive rating. The Lake Show is just 18th.
In his only game with no rest, Jaquez scored 21 points on 53.8% shooting against Philadelphia, which ranks eighth in defensive rating. That's only a one-game sample, but it helps ease concerns about Milwaukee playing on consecutive nights.
Lastly, if Milwaukee combo guard Tyler Herro misses his second straight game, Jaquez could get more opportunities offensively.
Jaquez's 15+ points prop is playable below 52% in Geoff Clark's Lakers vs. Bucks prediction.
Nets vs Pelicans prop: Julius Randle Over 5.5 assists
- Time: 8 p.m.
- TV: NBA League Pass
- Analyst: Todd Cordell
Player prop: Julius Randle Over 5.5 assists
Julius Randle is averaging five assists per game and has routinely cleared this line in favorable matchups. He recorded at least six assists in all three contests against teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in assists allowed, combining for 21 assists on 36 potential assists.
The New Orleans Pelicans sit 26th in assists allowed and 25th in defensive rating. They're also playing their third game in four nights, which could make it difficult to slow Randle's playmaking.
Todd Cordell likes Randle to record six or more assists, playing Over 5.5 to 51% as part of his Nets vs. Pelicans prediction.
Warriors vs Rockets prop: Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 points
- Time: 9:30 p.m.
- TV: ESPN
- Analyst: Juan Carlos Blanco
Player prop: Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 points
Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.3 points per game this season while shooting 51.4% from the field, including a career-best 47.4% from 3-point range. He's already cleared the 19.5-point mark five times this season, with four of those performances coming at home.
The Golden State Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 52.2% from the field on the road, creating a favorable matchup for Sengun to continue his efficient scoring.
Juan Carlos Blanco is backing Sengun to reach 20-plus points in his Warriors vs. Rockets prediction.
Thunder vs Trail Blazers prop: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 rebounds
- Time: 10 p.m.
- TV: KUNP 16, KSBI, BlazerVision, Thunder App
- Analyst: Tom Oldfield
Player prop: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 rebounds
Isaiah Hartenstein is getting a larger role on the glass in Chet Holmgren's absence, and he's grabbed 10+ boards in six of his last nine outings.
With the Blazers' up-tempo style (eighth in pace) and all the 3-pointers in their shot diet, Hartenstein should rack up rebounds here, especially in lineups when he's the lone big man.
He's also a threat to vacuum up OKC misses, with five offensive rebounds across his past two contests, and pick-and-roll actions with SGA can leave Hartenstein matched up against a smaller defender.
Tom Oldfield likes Hartenstein to clear 9.5 rebounds in his Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction up to 56%.
More NBA picks
Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for today's games:
- NBA against the spread picks for Wednesday
- NBA moneyline predictions
- Is LeBron James Playing Tonight?
Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.
All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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