Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Expect Trey Murphy III to light up the Grizzlies tonight.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 23, 2026 • 13:11 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
MEM
66 %
NO
34 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Trey Murphy III o21.5  Points Scored (-105) Trey Murphy III o21.5 Points Scored (-105)
Read Analysis
Trey Murphy III of the New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Trey Murphy III of the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans are rebuffing most trade conversations despite being in the Western Conference cellar. That is a choice.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are atop most trade conversations in the NBA, though the traction in those conversations is quite debatable.

My Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks assume these rosters may not remain as they are, but one New Orleans shooter should be trusted on Friday, January 23.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies prediction

Pelicans vs Grizzlies best bet: Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points (-105)

Only two teams have given up more 3-point attempts in the last 10 games than the Memphis Grizzlies have, opponents pulling up from deep 42.0 times per game.

That has been survivable because opponents are hitting only 34.5% of those looks, but here comes Trey Murphy III.

No one on the New Orleans Pelicans roster is more equipped to take advantage of that defensive choice than Murphy, taking 11.9 shots from long range per game in his last nine games, helping him average 27.8 points since New Year’s.

He has made 39.3% of those 3-point attempts. No wonder the Pelicans refuse to entertain trade overtures for Murphy.

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Pelicans vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

Murphy has scored at least 22 points and hit at least four 3-pointers in six of his nine games since New Year’s, a data set chosen only to align with Memphis’s defensive trend in the last 10 games.

And yet New Orleans is just 3-6 against the spread in those nine games. 

Pelicans vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
  • Grizzlies -6

Our "from downtown" SGP: Treys!

Adding Herbert Jones’s made threes prop is entirely a reflection of Memphis’s defense and very little a reflection of Jones’s shooting.

He has taken 4.2 threes per game this season and hit just 33.3% of them, but against the Grizzlies, Jones could easily take six, at which point there is a reasonable chance he hits multiple shots from deep.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points
  • Herbert Jones Over 1.5 threes
  • Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
  • Grizzlies -6

Pelicans vs Grizzlies odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +6 | Grizzlies -6
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +185 | Grizzlies -225
  • Over/Under: Over 239.5 | Under 239.5

Pelicans vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

Despite Murphy’s hot shooting, New Orleans has gone 3-6 ATS in his last nine games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Pelicans vs Grizzlies

Location FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date Friday, January 23, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV GCSEN, FDSN SE-MEM

Pelicans vs Grizzlies latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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