Thursday's NBA slate features four matchups, and our NBA player props highlight eight player markets worth targeting.
Check out all of our NBA picks for the latest expert analysis, projections, and predictions on November 12.
NBA player props at a glance (Thursday, Nov. 12)
| Matchup & time | Player prop & analyst |
|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Wizards 7 p.m. |
Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 threes Quinn Allen |
| Pistons vs. Wizards 7 p.m. |
Anthony Davis Over 9.5 rebounds Quinn Allen |
| Raptors vs. 76ers 7 p.m. |
Immanuel Quickley Over 15.5 points Chris Walder |
| Raptors vs. 76ers 7 p.m. |
Tyrese Maxey Over 23.5 points Chris Walder |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves 8 p.m. |
Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 assists Zak Hanshew |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves 8 p.m. |
Ayo Dosunmu Over 29.5 PRA Zak Hanshew |
| Hornets vs. Suns 9 p.m. |
Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds Tom Oldfield |
| Hornets vs. Suns 9 p.m. |
Collin Gillespie Over 3.5 assists Tom Oldfield |
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Pistons vs. Wizards prop: Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 threes
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: DAZN-Detroit, Monumental+
- Analyst: Quinn Allen
Top pick: Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 threes
Allen's Pistons vs. Wizards prediction points to Robinson's impressive shooting form from beyond the arc. He's shooting 45.7% from downtown this season, averaging 4.2 makes on 9.2 attempts per game. The veteran went 4-for-8 against Washington on Monday and has cashed the Over in three of his previous four outings.
Although the Wizards have defended the three-point shot relatively well, Robinson is letting it fly at a high level. He's attempted at least nine threes in three of his last four games, and that increased volume gives him a great opportunity to produce another four-plus makes.
Pistons vs. Wizards prop: Anthony Davis Over 9.5 rebounds
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: DAZN-Detroit, Monumental+
- Analyst: Quinn Allen
Top pick: Anthony Davis Over 9.5 rebounds
Allen highlights Davis' recent dominance on the glass. The big man is averaging exactly 10 rebounds per game this season and has cleared this line in three consecutive appearances, pulling down 13 boards in back-to-back outings. One of those performances came against Detroit.
The Pistons continue to be without Jalen Duren, who is a physical presence inside. Detroit hasn't been as dominant on the boards with Duren sidelined, and his absence softens this matchup for Davis, who should be able to impose his will down low. He'll reach double-digit rebounds once again.
Raptors vs. 76ers prop: Immanuel Quickley Over 15.5 points
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Sportsnet
- Analyst: Chris Walder
Top pick: Immanuel Quickley Over 15.5 points
Walder's Raptors vs. 76ers prediction views Quickley's scoring prop as a buy-low opportunity. His return to action Wednesday after a two-game absence resulted in his worst line of the season: 11 points on 3-for-14 shooting, with just one three-pointer on eight attempts.
This feels like a buy-low spot on a player Toronto desperately needs to shine. Quickley has yet to score fewer than 18 points against the 76ers in five career appearances as a Raptor, so history is on his side to clear the Over at 15.5 points.
He won't be devoid of scoring chances with Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard sidelined. It's now or never for the $175-million man to step up in their stead and bounce back against a division rival.
Raptors vs. 76ers prop: Tyrese Maxey Over 23.5 points
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Sportsnet
- Analyst: Chris Walder
Top pick: Tyrese Maxey Over 23.5 points
Walder likes Maxey's scoring outlook with LeBron James out of the lineup. This will be the third time this season the 26-year-old point guard takes the hardwood without James. In the two prior occasions, Maxey averaged 32 points while shooting 44% from three-point range.
Maxey is notorious among Raptors supporters for the way he's dismantled their team in the past. Across 17 career meetings, the two-time All-Star has scored 30 or more points eight times and gone Over Thursday's 23.5-point prop in six of his last seven meetings.
Toronto's only real hope is a cold shooting night, which is easier said than done considering Maxey has shot better than 44% from the field in all but three games.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prop: Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 assists
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: NBA TV
- Analyst: Zak Hanshew
Top pick: Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 assists
Hanshew's Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction highlights Flagg's emergence as Dallas' primary playmaker. He ranks sixth in assists per game among forwards, averaging 6.9. He also ranks fifth at his position in Assist Percentage at 33.8%, and third in potential assists at 12.2.
Flagg has cleared this line in eight of 10 games, including each of his last three, and Dallas is undefeated this season when he reaches that mark.
The Mavericks rookie is the team's clear go-to playmaker and floor general, and he'll reach six or more assists tonight as Dallas looks to secure a road win.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prop: Ayo Dosunmu Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: NBA TV
- Analyst: Zak Hanshew
Top pick: Ayo Dosunmu Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists
Hanshew points to Dosunmu's expanded role with Anthony Edwards sidelined. Dosunmu has started seven straight games in Edwards' absence, but he's been at his best across his last five. In that span, he averaged 23.8 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.4 assists, clearing 30 PRA four times while leading the Wolves in PRA and minutes (35.7).
Dosunmu was productive last season in the same situation, averaging 29.4 PRA across seven games without Edwards and clearing 30 PRA four times. I'm counting on another strong performance as Dosunmu picks up the slack for the shorthanded Wolves. Trade to 31.5.
Hornets vs. Suns prop: Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: Suns Live, Arizona's Family 3TV
- Analyst: Tom Oldfield
Top pick: Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds
Oldfield's Hornets vs. Suns prediction expects Diabate to play a key role on the glass with Charlotte dealing with injuries and a weakened rotation. He's averaging 9.1 rebounds per game this season and has cashed this Over in four of his last six outings.
Diabate grabbed 10 boards in his last matchup against the Suns, and Phoenix is vulnerable on the glass. The visitors rank last in the league with just 39.7 rebounds per game.
Charlotte's heavy diet of three-pointers creates long rebounds, and Diabate's athleticism will trouble Oso Ighodaro and Khaman Maluach. Oldfield would also play this up to 9.5 at a better price.
Hornets vs. Suns prop: Collin Gillespie Over 3.5 assists
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: Suns Live, Arizona's Family 3TV
- Analyst: Tom Oldfield
Top pick: Collin Gillespie Over 3.5 assists
Oldfield likes Gillespie's playmaking role for the Phoenix second unit. The Suns are starting games without a traditional point guard, but Gillespie provides that kind of structure off the bench and relieves the pressure on Devin Booker when they share the floor.
He dished out eight assists Tuesday against the LA Clippers and is averaging 4.4 assists per game so far this season.
With the Hornets turning to an inexperienced bench group, look for Gillespie's savvy playmaking to set up open shots for Luke Kennard, Ryan Dunn, and Khaman Maluach.
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