Yankees vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 23, 2026 , 02:22 PM ET • 4 min read

Tigers take care of business at home against slumping Yanks.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
NYY
54 %
DET
46 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o7.5 (-116)
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Yankees vs Tigers Predictions
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Detroit Tigers outfielder Riley Greene (31) runs to second base.

The New York Yankees are -110 favorites on the road against the Detroit Tigers tonight at Comerica Park, with the total set at 7.5 for the middle game of a three-game series.

New York limps in having dropped three straight and four of its last five, while Detroit rides a four-game winning streak.

My 
Yankees vs Tigers predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, June 23, expect those trends to continue.

Who will win Yankees vs Tigers today: Tigers (-104)

I've faded Carlos Rodon a good deal this season, and I'm doing it again, backing the Detroit Tigers. He has elite strikeout stuff, but there's a notable issue in this matchup.

His Bottom 9th percentile walk rate at just over 13% puts free runners on against a Tigers offense that has heated up as of late and does a good job of putting the ball into play. 

Casey Mize has historically handled this group with a 3.63 ERA across four career starts, including two quality starts against the New York Yankees last season.

That makes sense, too, given his swing-and-miss stuff that has peaked this season with a 25%+ strikeout rate. I'd play this to -120.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Carlos Rodon's average exit velocity allowed sits in the 8th percentile in 2026 at 90.9 mph.
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Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-116)

Both starters carry command issues, and both lineups are built to exploit them. 

Mize returned from his second IL stint of the season last Wednesday and admitted his last outing was undone by too many three-ball counts — allowing three runs in just over four innings against a similar-hitting-profile team in the Houston Astros.

The Yankees lineup still has Paul Goldschmidt turning time back with a .898 OPS and Ben Rice (.389 xwOBA) doing damage. While I think Mize has some success, he'll give up enough here with the Tigers doing the heavy lifting. Play to 8.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 30-26, +6.67 units
  • Over/Under bets: 35-22, +16.82 units

Yankees vs Tigers weather

Temps are expected to hover around 70 degrees F come game time, with little chance of rain and slight winds.

Yankees vs Tigers odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -115 | Tigers +100
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 | Tigers +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Yankees vs Tigers trend

The Detroit Tigers have hit the moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Tigers.

How to watch Yankees vs Tigers and game info

Location Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date Tuesday, June 23, 2026
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV YES, DSN
Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon
(3-2, 3.50 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(2-4, 2.58 ERA)

Yankees vs Tigers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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