The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins wrap up a three-game set at Target Field this afternoon.
Boston lost the first two games in lopsided fashion, but my Red Sox vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks expect the visitors to get the win tonight.
Who will win Red Sox vs Twins today: Red Sox (-128)
The Boston Red Sox have lefty Connelly Early on the mound. Early has logged a 2.45 ERA with a 1.75 FIP through seven career starts. Most importantly, he hasn't allowed a single home run, and the Minnesota Twins have a power-dependent offense.
Minnesota counters with Simeon Woods Richardson, who has a 5.39 FIP through three starts this year and had a 4.52 FIP last season. He's in the seventh percentile in whiff rate and strikeout rate, so he won't exploit Boston's strikeout issues.
With the Twins having a tough time going yard and the Red Sox making contact, back Boston.
COVERS INTEL: Boston's bullpen has a 3.58 ERA with an OBA of .190 while Minnesota's relievers have pitched to a 5.03 ERA with a .287 OBA.
Red Sox vs Twins Over/Under pick: Over 8 (-112)
Early has put together some impressive numbers in a small sample size, but there are concerns. He has an OBA of .255 this year with eight walks through 13 2/3 frames.
His xERA is significantly higher at 5.25, and Minnesota's red-hot offense has an OPS of .856 over the last week. That said, I also like the Red Sox to mash against Woods Richardson.
They typically struggle against high velocity pitchers, and he's in the 15th percentile in fastball velocity and has poor swing-and-miss stuff. The Twins also have a brutal bullpen, which is another reason to like the Over.
- ML/RL bets: 4-5, -1.68 units
- Over/Under bets: 5-1, +3.75 units
Red Sox vs Twins odds
- Moneyline: Red Sox -128 | Twins +112
- Run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+128) | Twins +1.5 (-154)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108)
Red Sox vs Twins trend
The Red Sox have hit the first five innings team total Over in seven of their last nine games for +4.40 units and a 36% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Twins.
How to watch Red Sox vs Twins and game info
| Location | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Wednesday, April 15, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, Twins.TV |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Connelly Early (0-0, 2.63 ERA) |
| Twins starting pitcher | Simeon Woods Richardson (0-2, 4.60 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Twins latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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