The Tampa Bay Rays own a sparkling 38-15 record on home soil, and they are -175 favorites to add to that win total tonight.
With a strong offense and starting pitching advantage, my Rangers vs. Rays predictions and MLB picks back them to do just that.
Who will win Rangers vs Rays today: Rays (-175)
The Tampa Bay Rays trail only the Colorado Rockies in batting average and OPS against righties at home.
Their offensive prowess should show up against Cal Quantrill, who enters play with a 5.79 SIERA and 6.06 xFIP over the past month.
Griffin Jax has posted sub-3.50 outputs in both categories during that span, and offers a much better chance at a quality start.
Jax has also done a good job of keeping the ball out of the air. That’s important against a Texas Rangers team sitting third in ISO vs. righties in July.
Back Tampa to -190.
COVERS INTEL: Quantrill owns a respectable 4.05 ERA despite a 5.10 FIP. He has not pitched as well as the counting numbers suggest.
Rangers vs Rays Over/Under pick: Over 8 (-115)
The Rangers have played to the Over in 36 of their last 50 games, and that trend should continue in this one.
Jax has pitched better of late but still ranks in the 45th percentile in Pitcher Run Value. It’ll be tough for him to totally contain an in-form Rangers attack ranking Top 10 in almost every major category vs. righties in July.
Quantrill’s third percentile K rate should result in plenty of contact against a Rays offense sitting .002 back of the Dodgers for top spot in average when facing right-handed pitching.
Play the Over to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 63-57, -6.30 units
- Over/Under bets: 66-49-5, +8.79 units
Rangers vs Rays weather
Rangers vs Rays odds
- Moneyline: Rangers +150 | Rays -175
- Run line: Rangers +1.5 (-135) | Rays -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: Over 8.0 (-115) | Under 8.0 (-105)
Rangers vs Rays trend
Tampa Bay has won 37 of its last 50 home games (+18.95 units, 28% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Rays.
How to watch Rangers vs Rays and game info
| Location | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL |
| Date | Tuesday, July 28, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | RSN, Rays.TV |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Cal Quantrill (3-3, 4.05 ERA) |
| Rays starting pitcher | Griffin Jax (6-7, 3.89 ERA) |
Rangers vs Rays latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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