The Philadelphia Phillies face the Los Angeles Dodgers this afternoon in a series-deciding game.
My Phillies vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks have Yoshinobu Yamamoto cruising with his splitter-lead approach against a Philadelphia lineup struggling at the dish.
Who will win Phillies vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
World Series hero Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws his splitter more than any other pitch for a reason — it’s devastating. Opponents have a .173 average and .219 wOBA against the offering.
The Philadelphia Phillies have the fourth-worst runs above average per 100 splitters seen (-1.76), and the third-lowest wRC+ (76) and highest strikeout rate (25.2%) against right-handed pitchers in the last 20 days.
Yamamoto will cook with his splitter, while the lineup behind him (league-high 121 wRC+ in the L20) will tag up Andrew Painter (5.40 ERA).
COVERS INTEL: Philadelphia has the sixth-lowest contact rate and the eighth-highest O-Swing rate in the last 20 days. Yamamoto will pile up whiffs (78th percentile) against this ice-cold lineup..
Phillies vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+107)
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. I’ve recommended the Under in the first two games of this series, and both hit, so let’s go for a third.
Philadelphia has cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA.
The Phillies have the best bullpen SIERA (2.31) in the last 20 days, and the Dodgers have the third-best FIP (3.13).
I have to bite with plus money available on the Under and multiple data points pointing in that direction.
- ML/RL bets: 19-18, -3.36 units
- Over/Under bets: 28-10, +17.41 units
Phillies vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +185 | Dodgers -225
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Phillies vs Dodgers trend
The Phillies are 1-7 straight up and 2-6 against the run line in Andrew Painter’s last eight starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Phillies vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Sunday, May 31, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS-Philadelphia, SportsNet-Los Angeles |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Jesus Luzardo (4-4, 4.38 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (4-4, 3.09 ERA) |
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