Friday's MLB card is loaded with star power, and a few of baseball's biggest bats find themselves in favorable matchups.
Before locking in your MLB player props, here are my MLB picks I'm targeting to leave their mark tonight.
Best MLB home run props today
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Yordan Alvarez
Kody Clemens
Home run pick: Yordan Alvarez (+238)
My mouth waters when I see the name Cal Quantrill, because he is simply a gift to us home run loving sons of guns.
So far this season against left-handed bats, the Rangers starter is allowing a 76.6% elevation rate, 15.6% barrel rate, and 40% hard-hit rate. Those hitters are generating a .460 xSLG and .377 xwOBA against him.
Yordan Alvarez enters Friday with an elite rating on Batters-Box while covering all of Quantrill’s pitches. In 22 games this season when Alvarez has received an elite rating, he has left the yard 31.82% of the time. Over the last 3 seasons, he has hit a home run in 21% of his games with an elite rating across 233 appearances.
Over his last 60 at-bats against right-handed pitching, Alvarez has maintained a .286 BA, .551 SLG, .968 OPS, and .265 ISO while generating a 55.6% hard-hit rate and 19.4% barrel rate.
Leave the yard and make our Friday great, Yordan.
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CW33, SCHN
Home run pick: Kody Clemens (+339)
The Rocket's son finds himself in another boom spot, as he draws Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez on Friday. Kody Clemens enters the matchup with an elite rating while covering over 91% of Rodriguez’s subpar pitch mix. In 27 elite-rated matchups this season, the Twins slugger has left the yard 22.22% of the time.
Over his last 60 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Clemens has been crushing the baseball, posting a .561 SLG, .844 OPS, and .298 ISO while generating a 58.7% hard-hit rate and 13% barrel rate.
Rodriguez has struggled against left-handed bats this season, allowing a 52.2% hard-hit rate and a 67.4% elevation rate. Lefties have also posted a .361 batting average, .651 SLG, and .469 wOBA against him.
With both sides generating plenty of hard contact, this feels like another spot for the Twins slugger to leave the yard.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MNNT, ABTV
- HR picks: 76-265, +11.5 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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