Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

The two best teams in the National League are set to face off, but the early advantage lies with the home team in tonight's opener of a three-game set. Ryan Gilbert details more below in his Dodgers vs. Phillies betting picks.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jul 9, 2024 • 14:25 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Zack Wheeler Philadelphia Phillies MLB
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The Philadelphia Phillies return home to host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are home favorites in the opening game of what could be an NLCS preview.

Although Philadelphia has lost three of its last four games, my Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions expect the home team to jump out to an early lead in our MLB picks for Tuesday, July 9.

Dodgers vs Phillies prediction

My best bet
Phillies F5 moneyline (-145 at FanDuel)

My analysis

Zack Wheeler is on the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies tonight, and he’s been stellar this season. The veteran right-hander hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in 14 of his 18 starts, including zero ER in five outings. 

Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.99 WHIP overall on the season, but he’s been even better at home. The former All-Star is 6-2 with a 1.76 ERA (13 ER in 66.1 IP) and 0.87 WHIP at Citizens Bank Park.

On the flip side, the Los Angeles Dodgers are hoping for youngster Bobby Miller to get back on track. He’s allowed 10 ER in 13 1/3 innings since returning from the injured list. The 25-year-old fireballer has also struggled on the road (15 ER in 14 IP) as opposed to at home (2 ER in 11 IP), and some of that damage has been due to allowing four home runs in four starts on the road.

The Phillies are one of the best F5 ML teams in the league, boasting a 56-27-7 mark overall and a 33-10-4 record at home. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are also expected to be activated before tonight’s game, and there’s currently a heat wave affecting the city of Philadelphia.

The ball should be flying off the Phillies’ big bats while Wheeler keeps the Dodgers quiet through at least five.

Dodgers vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Phillies F5 -0.5

Phillies team total Over 4.5

Bryce Harper 2+ total bases

I’m expecting the Phillies to get to Bobby Miller early and often, and the return of Harper and Schwarber should help them get off the schneid and get their lineup back into the swing of things.

Harper was on fire before hitting the injured list, recording 2+ total bases in eight of his last 10 contests and five straight at home.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dodgers vs Phillies odds

Dodgers vs Phillies live odds

Dodgers vs Phillies opening odds

  • Run line: Los Angeles +1.5 (-170) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+145)
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles +120 | Philadelphia -140
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-125) | Under 8.5 (+105)

Dodgers vs Phillies spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Philadelphia's odds are between -135 and -144 after being initially listed at -140.
  • Los Angeles is rare underdogs at as high as +122 after opening at +120.
  • The Phillies have hit the team total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI).

Dodgers vs Phillies trend

Philadelphia has hit the F5 moneyline in 49 of their last 75 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Phillies

Dodgers vs Phillies game info

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Tuesday, 7-9-2024
First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller
(1-1, 6.12 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
(9-4, 2.74 ERA)

Dodgers vs Phillies latest injuries

Dodgers vs Phillies weather

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