Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 28, 2026 , 11:39 AM ET • 4 min read

Can the Cubs keep it rolling after putting up seven runs on the Cardinals on Monday?

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
CHC
56 %
STL
44 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs -112 Chi. Cubs -112
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Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs second baseman Nico Hoerner (2) is congratulated by third baseman Alex Bregman (3) after hitting a two-run home run against the St. Louis Cardinals

After lighting up the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday night, the Chicago Cubs will look to keep the bats rolling in tonight's rematch.

Chicago is -106 on the moneyline, and my Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 28, see the Cubs take down the Cardinals once again.

Who will win Cubs vs Cardinals today: Cubs (-112)

Even with right-hander Colin Rea taking the mound for the Chicago Cubs this evening, I still expect the visitors to come out on top.

I don't care that Rea owns a 5.51 ERA, 5.10 xERA, and 1.35 WHIP over his last three outings. The St. Louis Cardinals offense has been lifeless, posting a 68 wRC+, .265 wOBA, and .578 OPS over its last 12 games.

On the other side, right-hander Michael McGreevy has allowed nearly a 52% hard hit rate and over a 15.5% barrel rate across his last three starts. Meanwhile, the Cubs offense has been on a tear, owning a 128 wRC+, .358 wOBA, and .193 ISO over its last 21 games.

Despite Rea's struggles this season, I think the Cubs offense does enough to carry them to a win.

I'll take the Cubs on the moneyline down to -115.

Covers COVERS INTEL: McGreevy owns a poor Batters-Box pitcher rating and grades out poorly in matchup ISO, hard-contact rate, and strikeout rate. He will also face three elite-rated hitters and another with a strong rating.

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Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-121)

With two below-average pitchers on the mound tonight, I have to lean toward the Over, right?

Rea owns a 6.45 ERA, 5.66 xERA, and 1.61 WHIP on the road this season, while allowing an 11.05% barrel rate to opposing hitters. Meanwhile, McGreevy owns a 4.58 expected ERA on the road and has allowed a 41.57% hard hit rate and 9.55% barrel rate.

At least one of these arms is giving up some runs tonight.

While I like the Over 8.5, I wouldn't play it past -125.  

Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • 2026 MLB Record: 343-666, -12.6 Units

Cubs vs Cardinals weather

Should be another hot one in St. Louis, as the weather will be in the upper 80s, with slight winds blowing in. 

Cubs vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs -108 | Cardinals +104
  • Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+150) | Cardinals +1.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+113)

Cubs vs Cardinals trend

The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI).

Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Cubs vs Cardinals and game info

Location Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Date Tuesday, July 28, 2026
First pitch 7:45 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(7-7, 4.85 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcher Micheal McGreevy
(4-8, 3.07 ERA)

Cubs vs Cardinals latest injuries

No notable injuries to report

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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