The Atlanta Braves and Chicago White Sox wrap up a three-game set at Rate Field on Thursday, June 11, and the South Siders can pull off the series sweep with a win.
But my top Braves vs. White Sox predictions and MLB picks are calling for Atlanta to leave the Windy City with the victory after teeing off on Chicago lefty Anthony Kay tonight.
Who will win Braves vs White Sox today: Braves moneyline (-112)
I’m fully fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday.
He’s sporting a 5.46 xERA with a pedestrian 8.6 swinging-strike percentage across his past nine starts, and the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 30 days.
On the flip side, Atlanta starter Martin Perez checks in with a sustainable 4.02 xERA with just 15 runs allowed across his past eight starts, so I’m anticipating him limiting the damage enough for the Braves to pull away in the series finale.
I’d play the Braves moneyline down to -120, too.
COVERS INTEL: Chicago White Sox starter Anthony Kay has the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, so I expect his struggles to continue and pave the way for the Atlanta moneyline and the Over 8.5 tonight.
Braves vs White Sox Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
While I do expect Perez to hold the Chicago lineup in check to a degree, the White Sox also send a potent lineup to the dish.
The Pale Hose similarly rank third in wOBA against lefties and 10th in the overall metric across the past 30 days.
Of course, Chicago has also played to the Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI), while Atlanta has gone Over the number in 28 of its last 45 road games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI).
- ML/RL bets: 25-14, +12.73 units
- Over/Under bets: 13-11, +1.22 units
Braves vs White Sox odds
- Moneyline: Atlanta -120 | Chicago +100
- Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+140) | Chicago +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)
Braves vs White Sox trend
The Atlanta Braves hit the Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI), and the Chicago White Sox have played to the Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. White Sox.
How to watch Braves vs White Sox and game info
| Location | Rate Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Thursday, June 11, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | CHSN, BravesVision |
| Braves starting pitcher | Martin Perez (4-3, 3.02 ERA) |
| White Sox starting pitcher | Anthony Kay (5-1, 4.40 ERA) |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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