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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+147 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -150 
|
|
5.63 |
-157
|
u8.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +132 
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5+171
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+120
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.53 |
-115 
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+157
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -142 
|
|
5.21 |
-170
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 24-7-1 in Angels last 32 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
o0.5+224
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+120
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
3.87 |
-125
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5+171
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+102
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
5.03 |
-110
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -180
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+110
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.35 |
-121
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+110
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.34 |
-110
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+175
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.72 |
-192
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +111
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Nick Pivetta o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-150)
o3.5-150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+115
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.39 |
-125
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+155
|
o7.0 -195
|
+2.5 -265
|
|
4.84 |
-150
|
u8.5 -114
|
-2.5 +205
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.98 |
-200
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
4.09 |
+183
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 +101
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 13-3 in Angels last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Giants last 10 overall.
ATL
@
PHI
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuña Jr. is in strong power form, hitting .440 with three homers over his last six games. His .440 ISO and 52.4% hard-hit rate support the surge, while Philadelphia’s homer-prone bullpen gives him another path to leave the yard.
Total
u7.5 (+107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 fits despite the low number because neither offense is flourishing and both starters are capable of keeping this controlled. Philadelphia’s bullpen has some homer risk, but Atlanta’s relief corps is dealing, and the Phillies’ cold bats support a lower-scoring game.
NYM
@
MIA
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the past 7 days, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 30%.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Otto Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.. Otto Lopez's launch angle of late (17.6° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 8.6° seasonal angle.
LAA
@
BOS
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+161)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today.. Jarren Duran has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Roman Anthony will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
CLE
@
BAL
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo destroys left-handed pitching. He is sporting a .412 ISO and 22.6% barrel rate on the season, which is almost unfathomable.
Fastballs, curveballs, and changeups account for well over 90% of Joey Cantillo’s pitches against righties. Mayo hits them all for power, posting ISOs of .429, .727, and .367 respectively.
Moneyline
BAL (-129)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Baltimore Orioles rank second in barrel rate, second in hard hit rate, and fifth in xwOBA vs. southpaws over the past month.
Joey Cantillo has posted a 1.52 WHIP and 5.09 SIERA during that span, making him a vulnerable target the Orioles should get to.
Back Baltimore to 57%.
AZ
@
KC
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Diamondbacks are 28th in wOBA and 30th in xwOBA over the past two weeks, so with the Royals respectively checking in ninth and eighth in the two metrics, I’m expecting Kansas City to pull away. Royals lefty Noah Cameron has also settled in down the stretch with a high-end 2.34 xERA and 2.82 xFIP across his past seven starts, while the Diamondbacks counter with inexperienced righty Jose Cabrera (4.84 xERA and 5.00 xFIP).
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 90°.
CHC
@
MIL
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Before a 2-1 snoozer in the series finale Sept. 3, the Cubs and Brewers combined for 47 runs across the first three games, including 13 in the tilt Boyd and Gasser started. Chicago paces the majors in wOBA, xwOBA and ISO across the past two weeks, in addition to leading the way in wOBA against lefties for the season, while Milwaukee checks in with respective ranks of fourth, ninth, 16th and 14th.
Moneyline
CHC (+111)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Cubs pace the majors in wOBA, xwOBA and ISO across the past two weeks, in addition to leading the way in wOBA against lefties for the season. Chicago also dialed in for a healthy 38.5% hard-hit rate against Milwaukee southpaw Robert Gasser in his most recent start Sept. 1. So, with the Cubbies seeing Gasser for the second time in less than a week, I’m anticipating Chicago putting crooked numbers on the scoreboard this afternoon. Of course, Cubs lefty Matthew Boyd has held opponents to a pedestrian .274 wOBA and .102 ISO across his past five road starts, too.
MIN
@
DET
Mon, Sep 7 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Out of every team today, the 13th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.
Total Bases
Max Clark o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maxwell Clark in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Connor Prielipp will have the handedness advantage over Maxwell Clark in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 10th-worst out of every team in action today.
WAS
@
SD
Mon, Sep 7 • 5:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.
STL
@
SF
Mon, Sep 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Rafael Devers has five career at-bats vs. Michael McGreevy. He hit the ball hard in four of them, and left the park twice.
As you’d expect given that history, Devers profiles well against McGreevy’s mix. Fastballs and cutters make up two of his three most-used pitches, and Devers has posted ISOs of .370 and .475 against those two.
Total
u7.5 (+103)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Logan Webb has allowed a hard hit rate of just 29% on home soil. He has also done a fantastic job of keeping the ball down, inducing grounders at better than a 49% clip.
Michael McGreevy is excellent at limiting walks and has only allowed 0.88 HR/9 in pitcher-friendly conditions, which he’ll certainly get in San Francisco tonight.
This has the makings of a low-scoring affair. Play to 52%.
CIN
@
LAD
Mon, Sep 7 • 9:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CIN (+126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
The Reds are worth a shot as road underdogs with Chase Burns on the mound. Burns is 15-3 with a 2.79 ERA and has struck out 171 batters across 145 1/3 innings. The Dodgers counter with Emmet Sheehan, who owns a 5.29 ERA. At plus money, I’ll back Cincinnati with the clear starting-pitching advantage.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like JJ Bleday tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Bleday in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.
TOR
@
ATH
Mon, Sep 7 • 10:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Projection 0.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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