Strikeout merchant Dylan Cease takes the mound this afternoon for the Jays. He’s baffled the Twins throughout his career, and I’m expecting him to rack up the Ks against this lineup.
Read on to see why with my Blue Jays vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, May 2.
Blue Jays vs Twins predictions
Blue Jays vs Twins best bet: Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts (-125)
Nobody has struck out more batters over the last five years than Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease, and he’s continued that success with his move to Toronto.
Through six starts this season, the right-hander is averaging 8.16 strikeouts per game with a 38% whiff rate, which ranks in the 98th percentile across baseball.
Those numbers get even more impressive against this Minnesota Twins lineup, where Cease owns a 42% strikeout rate.
The Twins struggle with the slider and change-ups, owning the 11th-highest strikeout percentage in the league with a high whiff rate on those offerings, which are Cease’s most-used put-away pitches.
COVERS INTEL: Cease owns a 35.5% strikeout rate this season, ranking him in the 97th percentile in baseball.
Blue Jays vs Twins same-game parlay (SGP)
Kody Clemens is 0-for-4 against Cease in his career with three strikeouts. He’s batting below the Mendoza line on the season as well (.197), and struggles against the change-up from righties, which Cease has mastered this season and should have Clemons looking puzzled at the plate.
Additionally, he’s gone hitless in three of his last seven games.
Left-handed starter Connor Prielipp has a 47% usage rate on his slider this season. I’ll back lefty-masher Ernie Clement to take a hold of one today, as he owns a .421 average against the pitch with a .526 slug-rate.
He’s also averaging 2.07 bases per game over his last 13 contests.
Blue Jays vs Twins SGP
- Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts
- Kody Clemens Under 0.5 hits
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
Blue Jays vs Twins home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+440)
Kozuma Okamoto is swinging a hot bat, and I’ll tab him to be today’s Blue Jays home run pick.
He leads the team with seven dingers after going yard twice last night, and he nearly did it a third time as well.
As for Preilipp, he gives up quite a bit of hard contact, allowing an average exit velocity of 93.5 mph while giving up a 45.5% hard-hit rate.
Okamoto ranks in the 88th percentile in hard-hit rate this season.
- Best bets: 11-20, -5.80 units
- SGPs: 5-26, -6.75 units
- HR picks: 6-25, +3.1 units
Blue Jays vs Twins odds
- Moneyline: Toronto -130 | Minnesota +110
- Run line: Toronto -1.5 | Minnesota +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Blue Jays vs Twins trend
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Twins.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Twins and game info
| Location | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Saturday, May 2, 2026 |
| First pitch | 2:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN1, Twins.TV |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Dylan Cease (1-1, 2.87 ERA) |
| Twins starting pitcher | Connor Prielipp (1-0, 4.00 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Twins latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Twins weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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